NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	4.2 [963]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +25.5%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.0 [927]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): -10.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	20	58%	0.13	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	7	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	12	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.25	0.04	0.04	23	78%	0.30	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.25	0.01	0.06	18	83%	0.23	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	13	39%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.7	28.5	19.5	27.5	2.4	34.6	142.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.0%

IND +7.9%

PHI -16.7%

IND +19.8%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.2	101.1	120.0	101.7
season	15.0	15.4		99.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	19.6	13.1	14.7	17.2	16.0
IND	14.0	17.7	16.6	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Bowman	5	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-20	23	9.0	16.4	-7.44	17.1	15.9	1.26
Jumaine Jones	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	11.5	16.3	-4.85	17.3	15.9	1.45
Kevin Ollie	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	12.3	16.3	-4.05	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Matt Geiger	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-16	15	14.2	16.6	-2.39	16.3	15.9	0.45
Aaron McKie	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-8	-1	16.7	15.2	1.47	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Eric Snow	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-8	-1	16.3	15.7	0.67	16.3	15.6	0.72
Toni Kukoc	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	15.8	16.2	-0.49	16.1	15.9	0.18
George Lynch	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-13	9	15.4	18.5	-3.09	16.7	13.4	3.31
Tyrone Hill	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-1	-15	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.6	16.9	-1.25
Theo Ratliff	59	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-2	-13	17.4	13.5	3.87	16.0	16.0	0.01
Allen Iverson	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.16	-24	7	-31	16.5	13.7	2.83	15.3	19.3	-3.95

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	75	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.24	27	-10	37	15.3	19.3	-3.95	16.6	12.9	3.66
Jalen Rose	86	85	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	5	7	16.0	14.5	1.55	16.2	13.8	2.35
Austin Croshere	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	4	9	15.8	16.6	-0.83	15.9	16.3	-0.36
Travis Best	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	9	-1	16.6	15.3	1.33	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Dale Davis	46	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	5	7	15.5	16.5	-1.02	17.0	14.9	2.14
Mark Jackson	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	8	1	15.3	16.6	-1.33	16.6	15.5	1.12
Derrick McKey	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	15	-13	17.3	15.2	2.04	16.3	15.9	0.45
Rik Smits	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	13	-9	16.6	15.8	0.83	16.3	15.9	0.36
Sam Perkins	16	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	18	-19	17.2	15.7	1.55	13.1	16.7	-3.65
Zan Tabak	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	15.4	16.0	-0.66	12.3	16.3	-4.05
Jonathan Bender	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	17.3	15.9	1.45	9.0	16.4	-7.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 109, ATL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 104, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.2%
BOS 91, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%