inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 97 Excitement3.5 [1074] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +19.8%
New Orleans Hornets 85 Comeback2.2 [616] LVPPeja Stojakovic (NOH): -10.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.060.04-0.102057%0.233-0.03757%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.110,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.00876%0.1100.001100%0.00
Tim Duncan0.110,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.130.000.031475%0.152-0.05450%-0.02
Manu Ginobili0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.021152%0.052-0.015100%0.01
Darius Washington0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.03478%0.0400.001100%0.00
Ime Udoka0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01350%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02550%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03617%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0240%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hilton Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.024100%0.061-0.012100%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.03667%0.0400.00667%-0.03
Chris Paul0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.031558%0.042-0.021100%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,00.000.030.000.03658%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.03-0.00-0.03450%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.03937%0.011-0.02650%-0.04
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
David West0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.021742%-0.022-0.03250%-0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.01617%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.82.630.115.726.01.828.2125.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.5%
SAS +12.1%
NOH -0.2%
NOH -0.2%
NOH -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOHNBASASNOHNBA
this game16.516.415.4111.596.6105.7
season16.515.9104.7109.6
opponent15.715.3104.0100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.714.215.720.616.5
NOH16.319.414.915.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili59590.72-0.220.940.0224-123615.817.9-2.0817.414.43.01
Tim Duncan67670.71-0.210.91-0.1429-174615.420.2-4.8316.715.61.07
Tony Parker74740.69-0.190.89-0.0425-133816.019.5-3.5016.018.5-2.46
Bruce Bowen59590.250.25-0.010.0475216.017.6-1.6116.316.7-0.38
Fabricio Oberto47470.150.35-0.200.09210-817.715.02.7417.714.92.82
Matt Bonner24270.090.41-0.310.12-113-1417.616.01.5814.317.4-3.08
Francisco Elson34340.050.45-0.410.25-719-2616.516.50.0315.916.7-0.80
Ian Mahinmi210.000.50-0.50-0.03111-1010.016.6-6.6412.016.5-4.48
Darius Washington2325-0.040.54-0.580.23-921-3018.215.92.3015.916.6-0.71
Ime Udoka1716-0.040.54-0.58-0.04012-1215.116.8-1.7019.115.83.22
Michael Finley2931-0.080.58-0.660.24-1123-3419.714.94.8114.817.3-2.56

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo23240.12-0.620.73-0.2613-253816.816.30.5319.515.34.11
Melvin Ely25260.11-0.610.73-0.1810-223217.316.11.2418.615.62.99
Rasual Butler40380.03-0.530.56-0.2911-233415.717.1-1.3919.214.44.84
Hilton Armstrong24260.02-0.520.55-0.218-202816.916.30.6119.015.43.59
Ryan Bowen44-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-131411.216.7-5.4315.216.5-1.29
Bobby Jackson4443-0.14-0.360.21-0.09-2-10816.716.20.5017.815.22.68
Morris Peterson4040-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-11-1-1016.716.20.4515.117.6-2.47
Tyson Chandler6764-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-153-1816.117.4-1.2515.519.2-3.72
Peja Stojakovic4849-0.530.03-0.560.15-2311-3417.115.71.3914.419.2-4.84
Chris Paul6563-0.620.12-0.730.12-2513-3816.316.8-0.5315.319.5-4.11
David West6058-0.640.14-0.780.15-2715-4216.216.9-0.6815.518.4-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, BOS 750.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
ORL 103, DET 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
NYK 101, BOS 770.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%