NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	3.6 [1080]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +7.1%
Boston Celtics	75		Comeback	1.8 [313]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -13.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	9	48%	-0.02	2	-0.00	9	78%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	18	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	68%	0.08	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Brandon Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	6	38%	-0.02	6	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	31%	-0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	0.07	23	54%	-0.03	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.8	34.1	18.3	25.3	3.6	33.2	147.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.6%

BOS -1.3%

BOS -11.1%

IND +27.0%

IND +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.7	98.9	82.4	100.5
season	16.7	14.4		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	15.8	16.2	18.5	16.5
BOS	13.1	16.2	16.5	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.13	24	-9	33	15.7	20.1	-4.38	15.8	12.4	3.45
Jamaal Tinsley	58	57	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-4	23	15.5	18.2	-2.69	14.6	16.1	-1.54
Metta World Peace	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-3	21	16.2	17.2	-0.97	15.1	15.2	-0.03
Reggie Miller	48	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	2	11	16.3	16.7	-0.39	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Al Harrington	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	8	-1	16.6	16.2	0.43	15.5	14.6	0.91
Fred Jones	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	13	-11	16.7	16.3	0.39	15.5	14.9	0.63
Jeff Foster	49	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	16	-17	17.6	15.3	2.29	13.8	16.9	-3.07
Jonathan Bender	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	18	-21	17.2	16.2	0.97	15.2	15.1	0.03
Anthony Johnson	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	19	-23	18.2	15.5	2.69	16.1	14.6	1.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Hunter	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	11.0	15.2	-4.25	20.5	16.4	4.10
Marcus Banks	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-14	13	15.8	14.7	1.10	17.5	15.6	1.96
Ricky Davis	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-15	15	15.7	14.5	1.13	16.6	16.4	0.19
Mark Blount	80	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	15.3	14.4	0.90	16.3	18.0	-1.69
Chris Mihm	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-3	-9	15.6	14.7	0.87	16.7	16.2	0.47
Chucky Atkins	50	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-1	-13	14.7	15.8	-1.10	15.6	17.5	-1.96
Jiri Welsch	44	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	1	-17	14.6	15.6	-1.00	16.4	16.5	-0.10
Walter McCarty	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	1	-17	14.8	15.7	-0.91	16.4	16.6	-0.17
Paul Pierce	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-1	-13	15.1	16.5	-1.38	16.5	17.5	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 102, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0	96.3%
NOP 100, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAC 113, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%