NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	3.8 [1058]		MVP	Steve Francis (NYK): +12.0%
Boston Celtics	77		Comeback	2.2 [309]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	8	71%	0.17	2	-0.05	15	100%	0.06
Channing Frye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	79%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	60%	0.06	3	-0.04	11	45%	-0.05
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.01	0.08	11	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	65%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	16	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	10	48%	0.02	6	-0.15	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.4	16.3	28.5	1.7	28.3	130.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.2%

NYK +8.4%

NYK +15.0%

NYK +0.3%

BOS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.4	112.2	84.6	104.5
season	15.7	15.5		103.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	12.8	14.7	20.4	15.5
BOS	15.8	17.8	15.9	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	62	62	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.15	27	-3	30	14.4	18.1	-3.75	15.7	17.5	-1.79
Quentin Richardson	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	0	24	15.1	17.0	-1.87	15.8	18.1	-2.31
Eddy Curry	59	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	3	18	15.0	16.5	-1.57	15.7	17.6	-1.94
Channing Frye	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	11	2	14.9	16.2	-1.31	15.9	16.7	-0.79
David Lee	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.22	18	6	12	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.9	15.1	1.82
Nate Robinson	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	14	-4	16.0	15.0	1.02	17.0	15.5	1.54
Stephon Marbury	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	22	-20	15.6	15.5	0.10	16.0	16.5	-0.52
Jamal Crawford	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.19	9	15	-6	15.6	15.4	0.26	17.5	14.9	2.63
Mardy Collins	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	29.4	14.7	14.69	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Renaldo Balkman	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	28	-32	22.3	14.6	7.69	18.1	16.0	2.04

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	22	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-22	20	19.0	15.4	3.57	17.2	14.9	2.30
Brian Scalabrine	22	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-22	20	18.5	15.6	2.97	17.1	15.0	2.10
Leon Powe	15	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-24	24	15.9	16.4	-0.44	21.1	14.2	6.90
Tony Allen	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-23	22	15.9	16.4	-0.44	21.6	14.1	7.55
Gerald Green	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.21	-9	-15	6	17.2	15.6	1.57	16.3	15.0	1.33
Kendrick Perkins	25	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-22	20	15.6	16.6	-1.02	16.0	15.3	0.67
Delonte West	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-11	-2	16.6	16.1	0.53	13.6	17.0	-3.37
Al Jefferson	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-12	0	17.4	15.6	1.82	12.7	17.4	-4.62
Wally Szczerbiak	60	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-6	-12	15.2	18.4	-3.17	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Ryan Gomes	55	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	-6	-12	15.9	16.9	-1.07	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Sebastian Telfair	62	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	-4	-16	15.5	18.0	-2.50	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Paul Pierce	65	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	-1	-22	15.9	17.4	-1.52	14.8	17.2	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 97, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 108, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%