NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	8.5 [194]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): +19.4%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.6 [679]		LVP	Ike Diogu (IND): -35.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.19	0.05	0.15	0.01	6	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.14
Darius Songaila	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	8	60%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Brendan Haywood	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	73%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.06
Roger Mason Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Jarvis Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	12	75%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Donell Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.14	0.02	11	59%	0.25	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.06
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	54%	0.12	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.06
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.35	-0.35	-0.07	-0.28	0.00	13	41%	-0.20	2	-0.15	6	50%	-0.28

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.4	15.8	28.1	2.5	38.4	136.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +15.3%

WAS +20.3%

IND -7.0%

WAS +19.8%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.4	105.4	102.2	104.5
season	14.8	15.3		107.8	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	16.0	14.0	14.0	14.8
IND	16.2	15.3	17.9	15.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	74	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-8	19	14.6	15.6	-1.06	16.1	16.5	-0.47
Antawn Jamison	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Jarvis Hayes	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.54	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.96	16.4	15.7	0.71
Brendan Haywood	39	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	2	-1	14.5	15.0	-0.51	15.8	16.4	-0.62
DeShawn Stevenson	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	4	-5	15.0	14.3	0.71	15.6	17.5	-1.83
Darius Songaila	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-2	7	14.5	15.1	-0.58	16.4	15.9	0.51
Andray Blatche	26	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	0	3	14.3	15.0	-0.66	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Etan Thomas	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	0	3	14.6	14.9	-0.32	17.1	15.5	1.65
Calvin Booth	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	18.5	14.4	4.06	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Roger Mason Jr.	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	7	-11	17.5	14.4	3.13	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Donell Taylor	19	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	11	-19	15.6	14.6	1.06	16.5	16.1	0.47

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	58	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.36	9	-12	21	16.3	16.0	0.34	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Maceo Baston	40	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	1	-5	16.4	16.0	0.42	16.4	13.7	2.68
David Harrison	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	3	-9	16.8	16.0	0.83	15.1	14.7	0.46
Mike Dunleavy	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-7	11	15.1	17.9	-2.87	15.2	14.1	1.14
Danny Granger	68	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-8	13	16.4	15.6	0.85	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Keith McLeod	54	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	16.3	16.0	0.31	13.8	16.2	-2.42
Rawle Marshall	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	2	-7	17.3	15.5	1.79	14.3	15.1	-0.71
Darrell Armstrong	39	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	6	-15	16.0	16.3	-0.31	16.2	13.8	2.42
Orien Greene	25	22	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	7	-17	16.5	16.1	0.46	15.3	14.6	0.64
Troy Murphy	66	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	0	-3	15.7	17.3	-1.62	14.1	16.6	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 111, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.27,0	91.9%
UTA 90, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,0	91.8%
POR 110, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.27,0	91.2%