NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	8.5 [196]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +25.7%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	12.8 [137]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -38.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.24	0.07	0.18	0.01	20	58%	0.34	3	-0.10	13	100%	0.16
Bostjan Nachbar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.09	0.00	8	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	87%	0.18	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.03,0	0.12	-0.10	0.01	19	71%	0.32	6	-0.31	11	64%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.02	-0.11	0.09	-0.01	8	22%	0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.18	0.00	16	55%	0.31	1	-0.05	15	73%	-0.04
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.02	14	56%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.04
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	21%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.38	-0.38	-0.10	-0.30	-0.01	13	26%	-0.36	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.0	15.4	27.6	2.4	39.5	141.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +59.4%

NJN +6.7%

NJN +20.1%

WAS -35.8%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.4	104.3	101.1	104.5
season	15.4	14.8		103.1	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		108.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.5	17.6	17.1	12.3	15.7
WAS	15.5	17.6	14.2	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	49	50	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-1	6	16.0	15.4	0.52	16.4	15.0	1.34
Jason Kidd	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.45	5	-1	6	15.7	15.6	0.15	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Richard Jefferson	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.51	1	3	-2	15.5	16.6	-1.19	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Vince Carter	84	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	2	0	15.4	19.5	-4.14	16.3	10.4	5.90
Antoine Wright	5	5	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	1	2	6.4	16.3	-9.85	5.8	16.3	-10.54
Bostjan Nachbar	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-6	16	14.4	17.3	-2.84	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Mikki Moore	63	64	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	16.3	14.5	1.75	16.0	15.3	0.71
Marcus Williams	21	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	3	-2	14.9	16.0	-1.05	17.3	15.4	1.89
Josh Boone	26	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.17	-1	5	-6	17.2	15.2	2.00	16.2	15.6	0.55
Clifford Robinson	18	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	12	-20	20.8	14.5	6.29	14.9	16.0	-1.01

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	25	25	0.18	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-9	14	13.1	16.8	-3.69	16.3	15.5	0.83
Michael Ruffin	22	23	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-8	12	12.5	16.8	-4.30	17.3	15.2	2.12
Donell Taylor	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	0	-4	14.6	16.2	-1.65	16.2	15.5	0.72
Andray Blatche	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	20.2	15.3	4.92	22.7	15.0	7.70
Darius Songaila	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-5	6	15.9	15.5	0.41	16.0	15.3	0.66
Etan Thomas	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	2	-8	16.9	14.6	2.25	15.8	15.7	0.09
Antawn Jamison	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	15.8	12.0	3.84	15.3	28.0	-12.70
Jarvis Hayes	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-4	4	15.6	16.0	-0.42	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Antonio Daniels	76	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-2	0	16.2	13.6	2.58	15.8	15.4	0.42
DeShawn Stevenson	57	58	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.41	-10	6	-16	16.5	14.5	2.01	14.6	17.6	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.79,0.77,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.84,0	91.2%
NYK 90, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.82,0	91.2%
DEN 106, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.91,0	90.4%