inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 90 Excitement9.8 [86] MVPSteve Francis (NYK): +49.4%
Washington Wizards 89 Comeback22.8 [50] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -21.6%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0.490,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,0.49-0.020.49-0.021958%0.877-0.37771%-0.20
Jared Jeffries0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.190.050.140.00482%0.231-0.04333%0.02
Nate Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mardy Collins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00237%-0.0300.00425%-0.04
Malik Rose-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01350%0.001-0.042100%0.01
Renaldo Balkman-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.021542%-0.011-0.04667%-0.02
Channing Frye-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001346%0.013-0.0800%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.001845%-0.023-0.07650%-0.13

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.130.130.040.090.001100%0.1300.002100%0.05
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.10.10-0.030.11-0.021243%0.121-0.024100%0.03
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.03-0.04283%0.0610.03250%-0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.050.011653%0.123-0.082100%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.030.030.07-0.020.011462%0.153-0.1212100%0.11
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00654%0.041-0.021100%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.00050%0.0100.00650%-0.08
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.04-0.02542%-0.012-0.06250%-0.02
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.11-0.011338%-0.074-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.41.727.015.424.62.647.6146.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +82.1%
WAS -33.0%
NYK +12.1%
WAS -22.1%
NYK +11.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKWASNBANYKWASNBA
this game17.015.315.4101.1100.0104.5
season15.714.8103.7107.8
opponent15.315.4108.7106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK18.215.718.216.217.0
WAS16.915.615.313.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Channing Frye59581.00-0.511.510.5416-153115.320.4-5.0615.215.6-0.41
Renaldo Balkman40400.75-0.251.000.7210115.318.5-3.1714.915.6-0.66
Steve Francis71720.72-0.220.930.517-61317.216.30.9615.215.6-0.41
Eddy Curry81820.52-0.020.550.4910117.017.6-0.6415.118.3-3.22
Stephon Marbury81810.440.060.380.4110117.314.92.3815.117.7-2.68
Nate Robinson770.000.50-0.500.0001-115.317.2-1.9117.715.12.60
Malik Rose2928-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-45-918.916.12.7516.314.91.42
Mardy Collins2221-0.300.80-1.110.02-1112-2319.016.42.5415.415.30.15
Jared Jeffries5556-0.501.00-1.51-0.33-67-1318.115.32.8815.714.61.08

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas84830.57-1.071.650.348-91715.414.01.3917.87.210.59
Etan Thomas30310.28-0.781.070.203-4715.515.20.3316.817.2-0.37
Antawn Jamison68680.08-0.580.66-0.013-4715.813.72.1617.615.22.43
Darius Songaila21220.02-0.520.540.14-43-716.015.10.9015.517.6-2.05
Jarvis Hayes1515-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-54-915.715.20.4213.817.7-3.90
Antonio Daniels3536-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.594-5914.316.0-1.7416.817.2-0.36
Andray Blatche98-0.540.04-0.57-0.685-61110.415.9-5.4218.116.91.19
Caron Butler7272-0.570.07-0.63-0.42-54-915.415.10.2417.316.01.29
DeShawn Stevenson5454-0.750.25-1.00-0.52-87-1515.415.10.3316.318.1-1.81
Brendan Haywood5756-0.960.46-1.42-0.78-65-1115.415.20.1517.216.70.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.82,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 127, BKN 1250.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.63,092.4%
BOS 86, MIA 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,091.8%
IND 108, GSW 1060.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.85,091.6%