NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	8.9 [148]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +22.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	7.7 [243]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -17.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	21	65%	0.28	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Al Harrington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	16	61%	0.21	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Baron Davis	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,0.07	-0.06	0.11	-0.02	15	41%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	0.00	-0.08	0.04	17	47%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	12	32%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.14	0.01	33	56%	0.36	7	-0.21	11	82%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	11	75%	0.29	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	47%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	7	43%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Smush Parker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	32.0	16.5	27.4	2.5	36.2	145.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.7%

LAL +10.1%

LAL +58.5%

GSW -52.8%

LAL +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	13.0	14.7	15.4	107.6	111.7	104.5
season	13.5	15.3		105.7	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.1	12.1	12.7	13.1	13.0
LAL	13.0	14.1	17.8	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-2	2	13.7	13.0	0.70	7.3	15.2	-7.82
Matt Barnes	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	11.6	13.3	-1.75	13.4	15.0	-1.55
Adonal Foyle	5	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-1	0	12.2	13.0	-0.85	8.5	14.9	-6.45
Mickael Pietrus	10	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-1	0	14.6	12.8	1.76	15.4	14.6	0.74
Stephen Jackson	68	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-6	10	13.5	12.1	1.35	15.2	13.8	1.36
Andris Biedrins	86	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-7	12	13.3	11.6	1.68	15.9	8.5	7.39
Al Harrington	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	1	-4	13.0	13.1	-0.12	15.1	12.8	2.33
Jason Richardson	76	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	2	-6	12.6	14.1	-1.51	14.0	16.6	-2.58
Monta Ellis	91	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.51	4	-6	10	12.7	14.9	-2.21	14.9	13.5	1.33
Baron Davis	78	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	12	-26	13.2	12.5	0.66	14.1	16.3	-2.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	36	39	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-7	16	13.3	15.4	-2.10	13.3	12.8	0.47
Shammond Williams	42	45	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	0	2	15.0	14.5	0.47	13.0	13.0	0.02
Kobe Bryant	100	102	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-5	12	14.5	20.0	-5.46	13.1	9.0	4.13
Lamar Odom	87	89	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.55	0	2	-2	15.1	12.4	2.68	13.1	12.4	0.67
Luke Walton	69	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.55	-5	7	-12	14.6	14.8	-0.19	12.4	14.3	-1.90
Brian Cook	9	9	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-5	12	15.3	14.6	0.70	12.7	13.0	-0.38
Kwame Brown	51	51	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	1	0	15.4	14.1	1.30	13.0	13.0	-0.06
Smush Parker	61	60	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	2	-2	14.5	15.0	-0.47	13.0	13.0	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	31	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.3	1.17	13.7	12.7	0.98
Andrew Bynum	29	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	9	-16	13.6	15.1	-1.50	12.8	13.1	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.31,0.53,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	90.5%
LAC 93, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.73,1	90.3%
DEN 96, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.83,0.98,1,1	90.2%