NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	5.0 [823]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	1.9 [722]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -12.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	11	77%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.04	5	87%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	16	60%	0.13	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.06	0.10	-0.04	24	45%	0.14	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.01	0.03	8	80%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.02	28	49%	0.06	6	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	34%	-0.07	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	33.3	18.7	27.1	3.6	34.5	145.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +51.2%

DAL +5.5%

CLE -6.8%

DAL +0.8%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	15.4	103.2	95.7	104.5
season	16.3	16.0		108.7	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		99.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	13.4	13.7	16.1	14.6
CLE	16.6	15.5	17.6	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	50	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-6	20	14.7	14.5	0.19	17.8	13.5	4.31
Jason Terry	85	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	2	4	14.7	13.5	1.24	15.7	17.3	-1.62
Devin Harris	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	5	-2	14.4	15.3	-0.87	16.0	15.3	0.73
Austin Croshere	32	31	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-7	22	13.9	15.0	-1.06	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Dirk Nowitzki	88	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	6	-4	14.5	15.9	-1.35	15.8	16.7	-0.85
Josh Howard	79	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	14.6	14.8	-0.24	16.1	14.9	1.22
Jerry Stackhouse	46	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-2	12	14.4	14.8	-0.38	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	6	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	10	-12	14.8	14.6	0.24	14.0	16.0	-2.00
DeSagana Diop	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	17	-26	17.5	14.1	3.39	14.0	16.2	-2.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	34	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-15	22	14.6	16.6	-1.92	16.6	13.5	3.03
Donyell Marshall	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-5	2	15.6	16.0	-0.43	16.2	13.9	2.27
Anderson Varejao	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	15.3	16.3	-0.94	15.9	13.6	2.27
Eric Snow	10	10	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	6	-20	18.0	15.6	2.38	12.7	14.8	-2.14
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-5	2	17.5	14.4	3.10	13.5	15.6	-2.13
Sasha Pavlovic	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	15.7	16.5	-0.79	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Drew Gooden	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-4	0	15.9	15.9	-0.06	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Larry Hughes	75	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	15.9	15.6	0.37	14.1	16.8	-2.67
LeBron James	90	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	15.7	20.0	-4.31	14.6	15.0	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MEM 93, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0	94.5%
NOH 94, DEN 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%