NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	4.7 [889]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +19.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	1.9 [649]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -10.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.05	0.04	19	78%	0.27	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	5	90%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	19	60%	0.23	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	61%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	-0.00	19	65%	0.15	4	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	70%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	16	34%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	18	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	31.2	16.4	28.3	1.7	35.4	137.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +62.3%

OKC +1.4%

LAC -6.1%

LAC -9.4%

OKC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	16.2	15.4	123.9	109.0	104.1
season	14.8	15.6		109.3	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.7	16.0	14.9	17.9	16.4
LAC	16.8	15.3	17.8	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.02	20	-8	28	16.4	15.8	0.59	16.0	17.1	-1.13
Serge Ibaka	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	0	12	16.6	15.5	1.12	16.9	13.4	3.44
Kevin Durant	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	4	4	16.4	15.9	0.51	16.6	14.3	2.23
Reggie Jackson	19	21	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	0	12	16.6	16.3	0.36	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Kevin Martin	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	4	4	16.7	15.8	0.89	15.5	17.6	-2.13
DeAndre Liggins	10	10	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	1	10	14.2	16.6	-2.43	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Russell Westbrook	70	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	12	-12	16.2	17.1	-0.95	16.5	15.1	1.34
Thabo Sefolosha	44	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	13	-14	16.0	16.7	-0.66	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Hasheem Thabeet	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	14	-16	15.9	16.4	-0.51	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Kendrick Perkins	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	20	-28	16.5	16.3	0.17	17.4	16.0	1.40

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	29	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-12	12	18.0	15.3	2.68	17.2	16.0	1.20
Ronny Turiaf	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-5	-2	15.9	16.2	-0.32	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Eric Bledsoe	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-13	14	16.0	16.6	-0.59	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Lamar Odom	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-9	6	15.3	17.3	-2.06	17.1	15.5	1.60
Caron Butler	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	17.3	15.3	2.06	15.5	17.1	-1.60
DeAndre Jordan	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	17.3	15.3	2.06	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Blake Griffin	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-6	0	16.4	15.4	0.96	16.1	17.1	-1.03
Jamal Crawford	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	15.1	17.9	-2.79	16.3	16.5	-0.24
Grant Hill	34	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	0	-12	16.4	16.1	0.36	17.3	15.8	1.46
Matt Barnes	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-6	0	15.3	17.5	-2.23	16.8	15.6	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.7%
OKC 121, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	94.3%
CHA 118, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%