NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	7.8 [301]		MVP	Luther Head (HOU): +40.6%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	4.8 [453]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -19.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	13	53%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.05	0.15	-0.03	10	57%	0.21	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.14	0.18	-0.05	-0.01	23	64%	0.30	2	-0.16	12	92%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	9	65%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.41	0.41	0.05	0.35	-0.00	4	80%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.01	10	91%	0.35	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	9	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	17	48%	0.10	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,0,0,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.18	-0.02	13	48%	0.03	3	-0.22	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	30.2	16.7	28.5	2.4	38.3	143.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.2%

LAC -19.9%

LAC -0.8%

HOU +23.8%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.4	109.4	114.7	104.5
season	15.7	15.6		103.3	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	15.7	15.9	13.9	15.4
HOU	12.7	15.6	14.7	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	70	69	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.27	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.4	0.03	15.0	14.0	1.08
Quinton Ross	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.2	15.3	0.95	16.0	14.5	1.49
Daniel Ewing	52	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.47	15	-19	34	14.8	16.1	-1.26	16.4	12.9	3.45
Aaron Williams	23	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-8	12	16.2	15.2	1.07	15.4	14.6	0.87
Corey Maggette	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	0	-4	14.9	17.2	-2.36	14.3	16.2	-1.85
Tim Thomas	48	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.70	10	-14	24	15.8	15.0	0.81	15.5	14.0	1.51
Jason Hart	44	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	15	-34	16.1	14.8	1.26	12.9	16.4	-3.45
Elton Brand	91	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	15.6	11.8	3.80	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Cuttino Mobley	64	64	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.37	-12	8	-20	15.0	16.3	-1.31	13.8	16.6	-2.82

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	31	30	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.68	-1	5	-6	16.8	13.7	3.06	15.6	15.3	0.33
Yao Ming	62	63	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.20	15	-11	26	14.1	15.9	-1.83	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Tracy McGrady	79	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-8	20	14.0	18.4	-4.36	15.4	15.3	0.09
Rafer Alston	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-5	14	14.0	17.2	-3.17	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Luther Head	40	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.60	-4	8	-12	16.0	13.8	2.21	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Charles Hayes	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	-14	32	13.7	15.6	-1.96	16.7	14.3	2.42
Dikembe Mutombo	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	9	-14	16.6	14.1	2.52	16.6	14.9	1.65
Jake Tsakalidis	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	15.2	14.7	0.48	12.0	15.6	-3.59
Shane Battier	71	70	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.20	1	3	-2	14.3	16.1	-1.84	15.5	15.2	0.24
Juwan Howard	45	47	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	0.05	-21	25	-46	16.2	13.4	2.76	14.5	16.2	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.36,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.45,0.15,0.31,0.37,1	90.8%
PHX 93, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.64,0.57,0.73,1	89.5%
DEN 102, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.42,1	89.4%