NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	7.4 [329]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +20.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	5.5 [247]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -53.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	10	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Rik Smits	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.09	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Chris Mullin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.15	-0.08	-0.11	-0.04	18	38%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.29	-0.07	-0.22	-0.00	7	14%	-0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	0.01	10	64%	0.21	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	12	44%	0.10	4	-0.20	3	67%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	9	48%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.07
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.4,-0.53	-0.53	-0.21	-0.32	-0.00	26	33%	-0.33	3	-0.20	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.5	2.0	39.4	18.0	31.0	2.5	39.5	163.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.4%

PHI +3.9%

PHI +39.2%

IND -29.5%

IND -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.2	102.3	105.7	101.7
season	15.4	15.0		106.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	16.8	16.4	18.7	16.9
PHI	13.3	16.0	16.4	19.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-5	8	16.8	17.0	-0.16	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Chris Mullin	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.56	17	-19	36	16.7	17.0	-0.34	17.0	15.4	1.60
Austin Croshere	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	0	-2	18.0	16.8	1.17	17.0	16.0	1.04
Mark Jackson	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	4	-10	16.6	17.2	-0.67	14.8	17.3	-2.49
Sam Perkins	28	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	17.7	16.5	1.16	17.3	15.4	1.93
Travis Best	40	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-6	10	17.2	16.6	0.67	17.3	14.8	2.49
Reggie Miller	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	10	-22	17.1	16.6	0.49	15.2	17.4	-2.23
Derrick McKey	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-5	8	17.1	16.6	0.43	17.3	14.6	2.77
Dale Davis	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	12	-26	16.4	17.7	-1.29	14.8	17.9	-3.15
Jalen Rose	81	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	6	-14	16.8	18.1	-1.37	15.8	18.4	-2.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	54	54	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-12	26	16.3	15.6	0.72	17.7	15.6	2.02
Allen Iverson	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-2	6	16.1	14.8	1.30	17.0	15.5	1.49
Aaron McKie	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	-4	10	15.8	17.9	-2.08	16.3	21.8	-5.45
George Lynch	59	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	-3	8	15.6	16.9	-1.28	16.8	17.1	-0.27
Tyrone Hill	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	5	-8	16.4	14.7	1.71	17.4	14.9	2.47
Todd MacCulloch	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	0	2	13.8	16.3	-2.51	14.5	17.2	-2.69
Kevin Ollie	15	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	6	-10	16.5	15.9	0.54	17.6	16.7	0.87
Matt Geiger	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	16.5	15.9	0.58	18.7	16.5	2.28
Toni Kukoc	51	52	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.42	-13	15	-28	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.8	18.4	-2.64
Ira Bowman	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	5.0	16.2	-11.15	0.0	16.9	-16.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.45,0.15,0.31,0.37,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	90.8%
DEN 104, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.45,0.58,1	89.7%
POR 113, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.6,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.58,1	89.5%