NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	86		Excitement	5.5 [728]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (NOK): +12.9%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.1 [1003]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -13.9%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.12	0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	13	41%	-0.09	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	41%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.06	15	76%	0.18	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	20	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	7	45%	0.05	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	13	33%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	28.5	15.7	24.8	1.8	31.6	128.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +10.6%

UTA +8.7%

UTA +21.7%

UTA +3.8%

UTA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	UTA	NBA	NOK	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.4	94.5	105.5	104.5
season	16.0	15.9		102.8	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.9	17.1	15.7	14.4	15.5
UTA	14.5	16.4	15.0	19.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	37	37	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-13	16	15.0	15.8	-0.83	17.3	15.4	1.97
Rasual Butler	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-11	12	16.0	15.3	0.67	18.0	15.5	2.47
Hilton Armstrong	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	15.2	15.5	-0.36	18.7	15.8	2.93
Marc Jackson	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-6	2	15.9	15.4	0.49	17.5	15.9	1.55
Linton Johnson	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	14.5	15.8	-1.21	16.2	16.1	0.12
Jannero Pargo	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-8	6	14.6	16.1	-1.52	17.9	14.9	2.97
Devin Brown	40	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	16.2	14.9	1.30	14.5	17.5	-3.08
Tyson Chandler	73	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	15.5	15.3	0.27	16.0	16.9	-0.94
David West	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.7	15.0	0.74	15.7	17.5	-1.83
Desmond Mason	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.3	16.0	-0.67	15.5	18.0	-2.47
Chris Paul	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	1	-12	15.8	14.5	1.30	15.6	17.8	-2.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.19	14	-4	18	15.5	17.8	-2.32	16.1	14.0	2.06
Carlos Boozer	63	63	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-5	20	15.8	17.0	-1.22	16.4	13.5	2.88
Deron Williams	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-2	14	15.9	18.1	-2.22	15.8	13.9	1.94
Gordan Giricek	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	2	6	17.0	14.2	2.80	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Andrei Kirilenko	45	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.05	12	-2	14	14.9	17.4	-2.55	16.4	14.7	1.68
Matt Harpring	46	47	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	12	-14	17.4	14.9	2.55	14.7	16.4	-1.68
Derek Fisher	39	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	10	-10	15.4	16.7	-1.35	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Paul Millsap	28	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	17.0	15.8	1.22	13.5	16.4	-2.88
Jarron Collins	25	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	14	-18	17.8	15.5	2.32	14.0	16.1	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
HOU 96, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
NYK 90, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%