NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	5.1 [781]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +20.1%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	2.3 [738]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -14.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	18	62%	0.07	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	11	40%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.04	10	62%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	37%	-0.04
Patrick Ewing	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	62%	0.04	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	5	117%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	13	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	16	57%	0.03	0	0.00	14	86%	0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	83%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	8	17%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.3	32.4	18.6	31.4	2.5	34.2	151.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +0.7%

IND +23.4%

IND +7.2%

IND +21.2%

NYK -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.2	96.8	109.8	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	15.9	16.0	14.7	15.2
IND	15.7	14.1	16.0	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-14	17	14.0	15.6	-1.61	15.8	16.0	-0.12
Chris Dudley	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-12	13	14.8	15.3	-0.52	18.1	15.6	2.48
John Wallace	19	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	16.8	14.8	2.04	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Allan Houston	60	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-15	19	14.3	16.8	-2.44	16.9	14.2	2.67
Charlie Ward	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-4	-3	18.5	14.2	4.27	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Chris Childs	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.2	15.3	-0.11	16.4	15.5	0.93
Marcus Camby	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-1	-9	15.4	14.6	0.83	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Patrick Ewing	64	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	15.3	14.9	0.41	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Latrell Sprewell	85	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	0	-11	15.0	17.7	-2.77	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Larry Johnson	67	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	3	-17	15.0	15.8	-0.77	15.6	17.0	-1.43

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	79	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	4	3	16.1	14.8	1.34	14.7	18.7	-4.06
Austin Croshere	46	44	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	1	9	15.7	16.2	-0.46	15.1	15.3	-0.28
Travis Best	36	36	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	15.2	16.4	-1.11	16.2	14.6	1.55
Sam Perkins	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	5	1	16.6	15.3	1.37	15.4	15.1	0.33
Al Harrington	36	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	4	3	15.5	16.2	-0.74	16.7	14.2	2.50
Dale Davis	61	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	15.8	16.3	-0.50	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Mark Jackson	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	8	-5	16.4	15.2	1.11	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Rik Smits	33	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	15.6	16.1	-0.50	15.2	15.2	0.02
Jalen Rose	47	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	5	1	15.0	16.9	-1.98	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Chris Mullin	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	9	-7	18.0	15.3	2.79	14.7	15.4	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%
NOK 86, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 87, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%