NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	5.7 [696]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +27.2%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.9 [952]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -15.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.17	0.05	20	67%	0.38	4	-0.11	14	86%	0.14
Jarvis Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	14	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	11	43%	-0.06	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.00	14	56%	0.15	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.06	0.09	22	64%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	18%	-0.06	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	9	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	30.6	17.7	31.2	2.8	35.2	141.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.4%

WAS -7.0%

CHI +3.8%

CHI +33.5%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.4	92.8	110.5	104.5
season	14.8	14.5		107.8	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	14.4	14.9	15.1	15.2
CHI	16.3	14.4	12.8	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	25	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-15	15	16.8	14.6	2.16	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Donell Taylor	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	17.2	14.9	2.29	14.9	14.8	0.08
Roger Mason Jr.	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	4.5	15.4	-10.88	5.5	15.0	-9.54
Jarvis Hayes	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-12	9	15.0	15.3	-0.33	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Brendan Haywood	48	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-15	15	14.7	15.6	-0.97	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Michael Ruffin	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-11	7	14.7	15.3	-0.59	12.1	15.5	-3.37
Etan Thomas	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-7	-1	17.0	14.4	2.56	15.9	14.4	1.54
Antonio Daniels	19	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-7	-1	16.3	14.9	1.44	14.0	15.1	-1.05
Caron Butler	84	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-4	-7	15.0	15.8	-0.80	15.1	12.7	2.39
DeShawn Stevenson	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-5	-5	14.9	15.6	-0.72	15.7	13.0	2.69
Andray Blatche	49	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	0	-15	14.2	16.1	-1.92	15.0	14.7	0.27
Gilbert Arenas	90	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	0	-15	15.1	15.4	-0.30	14.9	14.6	0.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	0	15	15.3	12.9	2.40	15.4	14.1	1.27
Kirk Hinrich	81	82	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	4	7	14.9	14.6	0.23	15.4	13.9	1.44
Ben Wallace	83	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	2	11	15.4	11.0	4.40	15.6	12.3	3.22
Thabo Sefolosha	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	0	15	15.3	14.4	0.87	15.4	15.0	0.39
Adrian Griffin	22	23	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	6	3	14.2	15.0	-0.80	15.1	15.2	-0.09
P.J. Brown	36	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	11	-7	14.3	15.2	-0.91	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Chris Duhon	20	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	10	-5	14.9	14.8	0.14	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Tyrus Thomas	26	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	11	-7	11.5	16.1	-4.65	13.8	15.7	-1.86
Ben Gordon	63	64	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	13	-11	14.5	15.6	-1.13	14.6	16.2	-1.51
Malik Allen	21	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	18	-21	16.6	14.4	2.22	15.7	15.0	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MEM 78, DET 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,0.94,0.84,1	93.3%
NYK 123, IND 132	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%