NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	78		Excitement	6.4 [534]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +9.1%
Detroit Pistons	80		Comeback	2.4 [732]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): -27.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Shane Battier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	8	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28	-0.09	-0.18	0.01	15	42%	-0.19	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	6	31%	0.00	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	11	35%	-0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	0.8	30.3	15.8	25.3	2.4	34.2	130.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.4%

DET +21.9%

DET +11.7%

MEM -9.0%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.7	90.7	92.0	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		102.3	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	18.7	19.6	14.3	17.3
DET	18.4	12.6	16.4	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	39	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.36	14	-16	30	17.4	17.2	0.21	16.4	15.7	0.68
Shane Battier	43	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-13	24	17.3	17.3	-0.02	16.3	15.8	0.44
Bo Outlaw	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-2	2	19.3	16.6	2.76	17.6	15.5	2.14
Earl Watson	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-10	18	17.6	16.9	0.66	18.1	14.0	4.07
Dahntay Jones	32	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	2	-6	19.3	16.1	3.21	17.9	15.1	2.85
Jason Williams	42	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	8	-18	16.9	17.6	-0.66	14.0	18.1	-4.07
Bonzi Wells	54	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	16.1	19.3	-3.21	15.1	17.9	-2.85
Pau Gasol	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	16.6	19.3	-2.76	15.5	17.6	-2.14
James Posey	44	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	11	-24	16.9	17.7	-0.78	15.8	16.3	-0.44
Lorenzen Wright	46	48	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	14	-30	17.5	16.9	0.59	15.7	16.4	-0.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	33	34	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.30	21	-19	40	14.3	17.1	-2.84	18.0	16.8	1.26
Ben Wallace	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	1	0	16.2	15.5	0.74	16.6	19.3	-2.76
Tayshaun Prince	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	0	2	15.6	17.0	-1.48	16.4	19.3	-2.92
Corliss Williamson	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-4	10	15.2	16.4	-1.21	19.5	16.3	3.23
Richard Hamilton	68	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.44	-8	10	-18	17.0	12.7	4.29	16.9	18.8	-1.87
Chauncey Billups	64	64	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.51	-12	14	-26	16.8	13.8	3.00	16.2	20.2	-3.98
Bob Sura	29	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-3	8	15.0	16.6	-1.55	20.5	15.8	4.69
Darvin Ham	8	7	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	2	-2	16.2	16.0	0.24	17.0	17.3	-0.29
Elden Campbell	34	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	6	-10	16.1	16.0	0.14	18.6	16.5	2.15
Mehmet Okur	49	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	3	-4	16.2	15.8	0.34	16.8	17.9	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 77, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 78, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
CHA 101, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%