NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	6.4 [578]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +17.1%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	2.0 [909]		LVP	Dwight Howard (CHA): -13.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	3	118%	0.25	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Evan Fournier	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.07	-0.03	15	41%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.11
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.04	-0.08	7	21%	-0.09	2	0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	12	62%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	55%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.03	0.02	16	63%	0.17	0	0.00	14	100%	0.07
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.15	-0.00	3	60%	0.22	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.09
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	46%	-0.00	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	14	39%	-0.04	5	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	31.2	14.8	27.2	1.8	37.5	141.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -12.9%

CHA +21.0%

CHA +29.0%

CHA +8.2%

CHA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	14.4	14.7	90.4	102.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		104.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.5		108.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.7	14.2	14.3	13.1	13.6
CHA	15.0	13.0	15.8	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	12.6	14.0	-1.41	14.7	14.3	0.39
Mario Hezonja	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-7	4	15.5	13.2	2.35	14.4	14.4	0.04
Wes Iwundu	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-10	10	13.3	13.6	-0.33	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Bismack Biyombo	38	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-7	4	13.5	13.6	-0.11	14.0	14.6	-0.66
Arron Afflalo	42	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-7	4	13.7	13.5	0.17	14.6	14.3	0.33
D.J. Augustin	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	13.6	13.6	0.01	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Elfrid Payton	69	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-6	2	13.6	13.6	-0.01	14.6	14.0	0.60
Evan Fournier	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	13.5	13.7	-0.19	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Nikola Vucevic	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	13.7	13.4	0.37	14.4	14.3	0.09
Aaron Gordon	76	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	13.8	12.9	0.87	14.7	13.5	1.19
Jonathon Simmons	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	13.3	14.3	-0.98	14.4	14.4	-0.04

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-3	16	14.4	14.5	-0.16	13.9	12.8	1.03
Nicolas Batum	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	1	8	14.4	14.3	0.09	13.9	12.6	1.22
Frank Kaminsky	50	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	1	8	14.4	14.4	-0.08	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	2	6	14.2	14.6	-0.42	13.8	13.3	0.57
Dwight Howard	61	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	3	4	14.6	14.1	0.51	13.8	13.2	0.56
Cody Zeller	41	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	7	-4	14.1	14.6	-0.51	13.2	13.8	-0.56
Jeremy Lamb	46	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	8	-6	14.6	14.2	0.42	13.3	13.8	-0.57
Marvin Williams	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	9	-8	14.4	14.4	0.08	13.9	13.2	0.73
Dwayne Bacon	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	9	-8	14.3	14.4	-0.09	12.6	13.9	-1.22
Michael Carter-Williams	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	13	-16	14.5	14.4	0.16	12.8	13.9	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
VAN 102, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	93.6%
WAS 90, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%