NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	4.1 [994]		MVP	Marcus Williams (NJN): +5.9%
Boston Celtics	78		Comeback	1.0 [1045]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -19.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	71%	0.10	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.05	17	52%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	79%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Eddie House	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.05	14	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.03	6	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	14	46%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Ray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	16	55%	0.11	6	-0.12	6	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	30%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	0.05	16	28%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	31.3	14.8	30.2	2.3	26.6	132.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +56.3%

BOS -0.0%

BOS -5.4%

BOS -1.5%

NJN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.4	97.9	83.9	104.5
season	15.4	15.5		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	15.8	13.9	19.0	15.5
BOS	16.5	14.2	18.2	12.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	34	35	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-6	26	13.7	16.5	-2.78	17.9	13.7	4.12
Antoine Wright	50	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	5	4	15.7	15.3	0.36	15.7	14.7	1.01
Vince Carter	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	2	10	15.8	14.6	1.24	16.2	12.8	3.41
Mikki Moore	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	1	12	14.5	17.3	-2.76	15.9	14.1	1.86
Jason Kidd	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	9	-4	15.7	15.0	0.71	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Marcus Williams	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	5	4	15.4	15.6	-0.26	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Bostjan Nachbar	28	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	5	4	13.4	16.4	-3.02	15.7	15.1	0.59
Josh Boone	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	12	-10	13.2	15.8	-2.64	18.1	15.0	3.15
Eddie House	50	50	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	15	-16	17.3	13.5	3.78	13.0	18.0	-4.95
Clifford Robinson	58	58	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	22	-30	16.8	13.4	3.48	13.7	17.9	-4.12

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-15	16	11.2	15.9	-4.72	22.3	14.4	7.89
Allan Ray	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-11	8	13.4	15.5	-2.04	16.4	15.4	1.03
Kendrick Perkins	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-10	6	16.0	14.9	1.12	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Gerald Green	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-13	12	13.3	16.5	-3.26	16.0	15.2	0.83
Delonte West	83	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-13	12	14.0	25.9	-11.89	16.2	10.2	6.04
Brian Scalabrine	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.2	14.4	1.81	17.0	14.1	2.86
Paul Pierce	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	16.3	14.6	1.63	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Al Jefferson	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-2	-10	15.5	14.4	1.11	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Ryan Gomes	68	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.4	12.2	4.23	14.0	20.0	-6.00
Rajon Rondo	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	1	-16	16.0	13.2	2.75	14.5	18.5	-4.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, MEM 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NOH 111, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%