NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	11.8 [23]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +51.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	19.2 [77]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -29.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.51	0.09	0.42	-0.01	23	56%	0.57	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.13
Ricky Davis	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.27,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	17	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Mike James	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.07	0.01	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Blount	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	12	38%	0.01	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	-0.05	0.42	-0.00	7	25%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.18
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.16	-0.01	11	50%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	13	69%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.15	0.00	11	52%	0.21	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	23	44%	0.04	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.09
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.29,-0.41,-0.41,-0.47,-0.47,-0.54,-0.29	-0.29	-0.06	-0.21	0.02	12	45%	-0.09	3	-0.20	5	80%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	27.5	15.7	27.0	1.8	34.2	1.7	19.6	153.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -45.7%

POR +51.7%

POR +40.3%

MIN -1.6%

POR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.1	15.4	100.0	100.0	104.5
season	15.4	16.7		101.9	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.5	15.7	13.4	16.3	13.2	14.8
POR	17.4	17.0	17.9	17.2	15.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	73	75	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.12	2	-5	7	14.7	15.0	-0.34	16.9	17.7	-0.80
Randy Foye	42	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	15.3	14.4	0.96	16.3	17.8	-1.46
Mark Madsen	24	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	14.0	15.0	-1.04	17.5	17.0	0.49
Craig Smith	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	2	-7	16.6	14.1	2.50	15.8	17.7	-1.87
Marko Jaric	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	1	-5	17.0	13.8	3.19	17.4	17.0	0.34
Mark Blount	71	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.1	16.6	-2.49	17.4	16.3	1.10
Kevin Garnett	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-2	1	15.0	14.1	0.95	17.2	16.9	0.34
Ricky Davis	83	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	14.3	17.7	-3.48	17.5	15.1	2.40
Mike James	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.4	15.3	-0.96	17.8	16.3	1.46

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	44	42	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-4	11	16.2	17.8	-1.57	15.0	14.6	0.37
Martell Webster	54	56	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	16.7	17.6	-0.86	15.1	14.4	0.75
Juan Dixon	27	28	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-4	11	17.9	16.9	0.97	16.9	14.0	2.90
Jarrett Jack	65	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	5	-7	17.2	17.0	0.26	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Zach Randolph	86	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	4	-5	16.5	20.6	-4.07	14.3	17.2	-2.85
Brandon Roy	73	70	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.28	-2	5	-7	16.8	17.9	-1.09	13.8	17.3	-3.55
Sergio Rodriguez	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	1	1	16.8	17.4	-0.60	15.3	14.4	0.91
Joel Przybilla	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	19.0	16.5	2.42	15.1	14.7	0.45
LaMarcus Aldridge	46	45	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	4	-5	18.5	16.0	2.46	15.2	14.4	0.77
Ime Udoka	44	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	9	-15	17.5	16.8	0.68	14.4	15.0	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.46,0.45,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.21,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 138, CLE 140	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.34,0.38,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.15,1	89.2%
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	87.9%
HOU 71, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.26,1	86.9%