NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	12.3 [15]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +64.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	63.1 [11]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -41.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.65	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.62,0.65	0.13	0.52	0.01	18	71%	0.86	5	-0.21	12	100%	0.23
Samuel Dalembert	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	15	62%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Rodney Carney	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	10	86%	0.27	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.09	0.06	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Joe Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.45,-0.41	-0.05	-0.33	0.03	15	50%	-0.01	4	-0.40	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	18	59%	0.31	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	8	75%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	26	60%	0.24	4	-0.17	13	62%	-0.23
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	9	44%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	8	22%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	8	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.00	-0.21	0.00	18	51%	-0.13	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.5	16.6	24.1	1.7	40.0	1.7	17.2	2.4	19.2	180.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +80.4%

PHI +36.5%

CLE -33.3%

CLE -33.5%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	17.9	15.4	114.6	110.6	104.5
season	15.5	16.0		101.7	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.9	17.1	16.1	15.2	15.4	15.7
CLE	15.7	19.9	18.2	18.2	17.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	74	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	15.2	17.0	-1.77	18.0	17.5	0.56
Andre Iguodala	95	96	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-2	7	15.8	14.4	1.47	17.7	20.2	-2.56
Samuel Dalembert	74	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	1	1	16.0	15.0	1.01	18.3	16.9	1.37
Andre Miller	86	87	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	3	-3	15.7	15.8	-0.11	17.5	19.8	-2.25
Steven Hunter	86	86	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	4	-5	16.1	14.1	2.00	18.4	15.4	3.02
Lou Williams	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	0	3	15.8	15.7	0.11	19.8	17.5	2.25
Rodney Carney	53	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.40	-8	11	-19	14.5	17.0	-2.51	16.7	19.2	-2.42
Joe Smith	30	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-1	5	17.1	15.2	1.94	17.7	18.0	-0.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	20.0	17.9	2.14	12.0	15.8	-3.76
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.30	8	-11	19	19.0	16.0	2.97	16.3	14.7	1.63
Drew Gooden	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-6	9	17.2	18.4	-1.20	17.5	14.5	2.91
Donyell Marshall	21	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	3	-9	17.0	18.1	-1.11	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Anderson Varejao	65	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.24	-12	9	-21	18.9	16.3	2.61	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Damon Jones	29	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-3	3	16.9	18.3	-1.32	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Eric Snow	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-3	3	18.4	17.1	1.29	16.9	13.7	3.16
Larry Hughes	89	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-4	5	17.9	17.9	-0.06	15.8	15.4	0.43
Sasha Pavlovic	37	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-2	1	16.9	18.4	-1.50	13.4	17.0	-3.55
LeBron James	97	97	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	5	-13	17.5	22.9	-5.33	15.6	17.5	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 120, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	90.2%
MIL 114, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.66,0.81,0.84,1,0.99,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.28,0.46,0.19,0.36,0.09,0.08,0	88.6%
NJN 110, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.93,0.79,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.46,0.21,0.05,0.01,0	86.3%