NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	6.4 [553]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +25.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.9 [388]		LVP	Derek Anderson (CHA): -14.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.14	0.02	9	91%	0.34	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.00	9	76%	0.26	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	14	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	14	43%	0.13	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	74%	0.18	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.03	10	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	22	55%	0.17	4	-0.11	9	56%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Walter Herrmann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	32.2	15.6	26.2	2.4	35.5	137.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +61.7%

CHA -5.4%

CHA -16.6%

DET +14.6%

CHA -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.8	15.4	119.8	108.2	104.5
season	16.8	15.7		106.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.1	17.5	15.4	15.5	16.8
CHA	16.9	15.2	15.9	19.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	66	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	0	11	17.1	16.1	0.98	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Chauncey Billups	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	2	7	17.1	15.7	1.42	16.7	17.2	-0.50
Tayshaun Prince	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	4	3	17.8	13.6	4.13	16.8	16.8	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	25	24	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	2	7	14.2	17.9	-3.68	17.4	16.6	0.75
Antonio McDyess	23	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	1	9	14.3	17.8	-3.47	17.5	16.6	0.93
Richard Hamilton	71	71	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	6	-1	16.7	17.7	-1.07	16.8	17.2	-0.45
Dale Davis	14	15	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	4	3	16.2	17.0	-0.76	18.1	16.6	1.58
Carlos Delfino	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	8	-5	16.2	17.2	-0.97	16.2	17.1	-0.95
Rasheed Wallace	61	60	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	13	-15	18.0	13.9	4.13	17.2	15.9	1.35
Jason Maxiell	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	15	-19	16.1	16.9	-0.77	12.0	17.3	-5.27

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	5	4	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-12	13	18.0	16.8	1.24	20.5	16.7	3.83
Adam Morrison	46	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-10	9	16.1	17.7	-1.54	15.2	18.6	-3.41
Raymond Felton	68	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-9	7	16.9	16.5	0.46	17.6	13.6	3.99
Sean May	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.20	2	-13	15	17.3	16.3	1.00	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Ryan Hollins	5	5	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	16.8	16.8	-0.04	13.8	17.0	-3.24
Emeka Okafor	80	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	16.8	16.8	0.04	17.0	13.8	3.24
Jeff McInnis	27	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	16.6	16.9	-0.36	15.0	17.8	-2.79
Gerald Wallace	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	17.0	16.2	0.74	17.4	13.9	3.45
Derek Anderson	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	17.1	16.6	0.53	18.2	15.7	2.49
Matt Carroll	38	38	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.04	-24	13	-37	16.5	17.1	-0.65	16.2	17.4	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 94, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	93.0%
ATL 120, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.11,0.05,0.04,0	92.9%
MIL 106, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.34,0.2,0.07,0.09,0.08,0	92.9%