inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 106 Excitement11.3 [31] MVPAnderson Varejao (CLE): +26.4%
Golden State Warriors 104 Comeback15.2 [86] LVPAl Harrington (GSW): -35.6%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anderson Varejao0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.260.020.250.01857%0.312-0.05580%-0.01
Eric Snow-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.04-0.01867%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Daniel Gibson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.050,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.011245%0.034-0.09757%-0.02
Damon Jones-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.0230%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011644%0.033-0.0920%-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.08-0.160.00968%-0.061-0.031100%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00410%-0.1000.00250%-0.03
Drew Gooden-0.110,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.01325%-0.043-0.0720%-0.04
David Wesley-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11-0.03-0.060.02450%-0.012-0.1020%-0.04
LeBron James-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.02,-0.03,-0.130.00-0.15-0.012265%0.229-0.35540%-0.29

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.08-0.021547%0.162-0.09475%0.07
Sarunas Jasikevicius0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.050.00-0.01762%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.00667%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01344%-0.001-0.03367%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01844%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.15-0.032552%0.126-0.27667%-0.03
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27-0.27-0.04-0.24-0.001150%-0.033-0.2420%-0.03
Al Harrington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.31,-0.39,-0.39,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36-0.36-0.19-0.19-0.022130%-0.054-0.304100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.22.728.315.424.63.334.52.314.3155.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +27.1%
GSW -20.5%
CLE +30.0%
CLE +16.9%
GSW -3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEGSWNBACLEGSWNBA
this game15.112.115.491.488.1104.5
season16.013.5103.2105.7
opponent15.215.6105.799.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE13.814.916.015.117.315.1
GSW11.010.314.613.211.512.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Snow85841.14-0.641.780.5620-183815.115.00.1612.511.21.32
David Wesley31330.88-0.381.260.5312-102215.714.90.8112.811.80.97
LeBron James991010.60-0.100.700.455-3815.015.5-0.4512.211.40.89
Sasha Pavlovic62640.55-0.050.590.58-13-414.915.3-0.4612.212.00.25
Anderson Varejao66690.470.030.440.383-1415.714.31.4212.811.11.70
Donyell Marshall37380.130.37-0.25-0.025-3814.615.3-0.6811.712.3-0.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas58590.040.46-0.41-0.167-51214.116.0-1.9012.611.70.88
Daniel Gibson76-0.090.59-0.680.03-46-1013.015.2-2.2212.012.1-0.13
Larry Hughes7071-0.300.80-1.09-0.09-79-1614.915.4-0.5111.912.4-0.55
Drew Gooden3433-0.430.93-1.360.07-1719-3616.214.61.639.513.1-3.61
Damon Jones3132-0.490.99-1.48-0.11-1315-2815.714.90.8511.112.5-1.45

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelenna Azubuike25260.14-0.640.78-0.015-71211.012.4-1.4713.415.6-2.14
Andris Biedrins56570.12-0.620.740.033-5812.411.90.5615.015.2-0.24
Mickael Pietrus8280-0.08-0.420.330.00-31-412.710.81.8915.713.72.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius4746-0.12-0.380.25-0.399-112010.912.9-2.0715.414.90.47
Adonal Foyle3029-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-64-1012.312.10.2015.115.10.02
Stephen Jackson108106-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.473-5812.112.5-0.4215.411.83.60
Matt Barnes7775-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.616-81411.613.0-1.3514.216.7-2.47
Al Harrington8482-0.570.07-0.63-0.21-1210-2212.211.80.4615.314.60.62
Monta Ellis8179-0.880.38-1.26-0.44-1513-2812.710.81.9115.115.00.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 102, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.15,090.1%
WAS 130, SAC 1220.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,089.2%
IND 102, GSW 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.09,0.02,089.0%