NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	12.2 [13]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +42.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	13.6 [35]		LVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): -40.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.43	0.06	0.38	0.01	17	66%	0.58	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
George Lynch	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.00	13	73%	0.28	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	16	61%	0.08	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	4	30%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.34,-0.17,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	10	46%	0.05	3	-0.20	6	67%	0.04
Larry Hughes	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.22	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.37,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.41	-0.11	-0.30	-0.01	17	29%	-0.21	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.13	4	25%	-0.08
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.05	-0.00	12	42%	0.18	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	20	49%	0.39	4	-0.46	5	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.21,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.11	-0.24	-0.01	15	37%	-0.28	1	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.37	-0.37	-0.04	-0.34	-0.01	10	71%	-0.08	6	-0.29	8	50%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	33.5	16.4	23.5	2.0	46.2	1.5	22.4	169.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -4.5%

PHI +17.4%

PHI +6.2%

PHI +29.1%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	13.8	15.2	96.2	92.6	101.7
season	15.0	14.1		99.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.5	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	18.0	15.2	15.7	13.7	19.8	15.9
CLE	12.8	15.4	15.0	13.0	12.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	63	65	1.07	-0.56	1.64	0.98	3	-1	4	16.7	14.8	1.96	12.9	15.1	-2.18
Aaron McKie	96	98	0.73	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	16.1	14.7	1.36	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Eric Snow	77	80	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.52	7	-5	12	16.6	14.2	2.33	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Tyrone Hill	86	89	0.59	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-7	16	16.1	15.3	0.78	13.8	13.8	0.02
Bruce Bowen	49	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-10	22	15.7	16.1	-0.45	14.2	13.4	0.81
George Lynch	65	66	0.03	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	1	0	16.4	15.1	1.28	14.4	12.9	1.47
Todd MacCulloch	3	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	16.0	15.9	0.07	16.0	13.7	2.28
Kevin Ollie	27	27	-0.22	0.73	-0.95	-0.05	-6	8	-14	13.7	16.7	-3.04	14.5	13.6	0.95
Larry Hughes	27	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	15	-28	14.8	16.3	-1.55	13.7	13.8	-0.07
Billy Owens	37	37	-0.55	1.06	-1.61	-0.29	-9	11	-20	14.5	16.7	-2.18	13.8	13.8	0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	44	46	0.72	-1.23	1.95	0.43	10	-12	22	13.7	13.9	-0.13	14.3	17.2	-2.96
Danny Ferry	24	24	0.32	-0.83	1.15	0.00	11	-13	24	14.2	13.7	0.57	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Andre Miller	29	30	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-9	16	14.7	13.5	1.26	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Shawn Kemp	60	61	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-8	14	13.0	14.8	-1.81	16.4	15.3	1.12
Bob Sura	92	91	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.41	2	-4	6	14.0	12.7	1.24	16.1	14.7	1.40
Brevin Knight	91	87	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	10	-22	13.7	14.4	-0.72	16.0	15.5	0.56
Lamond Murray	82	79	-0.82	0.31	-1.13	-0.46	-12	10	-22	13.7	14.2	-0.51	16.3	14.8	1.55
Mark Bryant	52	50	-0.85	0.34	-1.19	-0.44	-14	12	-26	15.2	12.5	2.67	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Andrew DeClercq	76	71	-1.11	0.60	-1.71	-0.78	-11	9	-20	13.3	15.0	-1.70	16.3	15.1	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 130, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	91.9%
DEN 113, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.02,0	91.3%
HOU 116, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.89,0.85,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.92,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.34,0.17,0	90.7%