NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	9.4 [102]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (NYK): +48.3%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	34.5 [46]		LVP	Jose Calderon (NYK): -33.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.10	0.32	0.02	11	69%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.17	0.02	11	73%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	11	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	14	42%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.11
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
KJ McDaniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
James Harden	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.37,-0.25,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	0.00	28	39%	-0.18	2	-0.10	10	60%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.48	0.48	0.20	0.28	0.00	19	74%	0.50	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	13	67%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.01	10	70%	0.19	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.13	0.01	10	68%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	9	22%	-0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33	-0.33	-0.10	-0.24	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	5	-0.30	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.3	15.6	26.2	2.5	33.4	2.4	19.5	156.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -30.8%

HOU +4.6%

HOU +9.2%

HOU +61.8%

HOU +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	14.9	114.9	111.0	105.1
season	14.0	15.6		105.9	103.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.1	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.0	16.7	16.0	14.9	14.8	15.8
NYK	16.0	14.6	17.4	15.8	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	64	63	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.47	16	-11	27	15.3	16.6	-1.22	17.3	13.3	4.01
Trevor Ariza	79	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-4	13	15.7	16.1	-0.38	16.1	15.2	0.90
James Harden	83	83	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-5	15	16.0	14.9	1.03	16.3	13.7	2.58
Dwight Howard	60	58	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	15.6	16.1	-0.56	15.6	16.2	-0.67
Marcus Thornton	42	42	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-5	15	15.2	16.2	-1.07	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Clint Capela	67	67	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	15.8	15.7	0.13	16.5	14.5	2.08
Corey Brewer	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	4	-3	15.9	15.8	0.14	15.5	15.9	-0.36
KJ McDaniels	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	16.3	15.7	0.56	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Terrence Jones	47	47	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.04	-14	19	-33	16.3	15.3	1.03	15.1	16.5	-1.44
Jason Terry	41	40	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	-0.11	-13	18	-31	16.4	15.4	1.01	13.1	17.7	-4.58

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	31	30	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.08	2	-7	9	15.2	16.1	-0.95	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Jerian Grant	23	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-6	7	15.4	16.0	-0.54	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Cleanthony Early	12	11	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-6	7	13.3	16.2	-2.86	16.5	15.7	0.85
Robin Lopez	28	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.06	-1	-4	3	15.9	15.8	0.06	15.9	15.8	0.09
Kyle O'Quinn	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-2	-1	19.2	15.6	3.53	13.9	15.9	-2.08
Lance Thomas	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	8	-21	16.5	14.6	1.86	16.1	15.3	0.82
Kristaps Porzingis	74	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	15.6	16.6	-0.98	16.3	14.1	2.21
Kevin Seraphin	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-7	9	15.6	16.3	-0.67	15.9	15.6	0.28
Jose Calderon	69	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.47	-3	-2	-1	16.3	14.7	1.61	16.2	14.8	1.46
Arron Afflalo	77	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	1	-7	16.0	15.4	0.54	16.1	14.7	1.42
Langston Galloway	51	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	2	-9	15.6	16.1	-0.45	14.6	17.1	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.89,0.85,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.92,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.34,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 103, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.26,0	90.9%
PHI 102, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.15,0	90.7%
IND 116, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.55,0.43,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.21,0.32,0.16,0	89.7%