NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	116		Excitement	11.1 [47]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +61.1%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	27.9 [95]		LVP	Derrick Williams (SAC): -23.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.61	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.61	0.18	0.42	-0.02	22	69%	0.76	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.09
David West	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24	0.10	0.15	0.01	14	65%	0.28	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.16	0.02	19	52%	0.21	2	-0.04	8	62%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	38%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	9	48%	-0.05	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.08	0.00	27	72%	0.39	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.36,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	31	53%	0.25	5	-0.19	10	100%	0.09
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	3	37%	-0.04	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	8	6%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	9	28%	-0.09	2	-0.14	7	43%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	30.5	14.8	37.0	2.3	37.3	2.4	18.2	168.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.3%

IND +38.5%

SAC -43.3%

IND +29.0%

SAC -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	16.0	15.1	108.4	103.7	105.2
season	15.8	15.4		102.7	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.2		107.1	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.1	15.0	12.4	13.7	15.4	13.7
SAC	16.2	17.0	14.7	17.6	13.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	81	79	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-7	19	13.3	15.0	-1.69	15.7	16.7	-1.02
David West	75	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-13	31	13.4	14.5	-1.07	15.6	16.9	-1.27
Paul George	86	85	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-3	11	13.4	15.2	-1.83	15.6	17.5	-1.83
Lance Stephenson	91	90	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-7	19	13.9	12.6	1.36	16.5	13.3	3.22
George Hill	71	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	0	5	13.2	14.7	-1.55	16.1	15.9	0.21
Ian Mahinmi	24	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	14.7	13.4	1.22	17.2	15.6	1.63
CJ Watson	25	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.09	-7	12	-19	14.5	13.5	0.99	17.0	15.7	1.25
Danny Granger	37	39	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.04	-10	15	-25	14.1	13.5	0.51	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Luis Scola	34	33	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.09	-18	23	-41	14.7	13.2	1.49	16.5	15.8	0.74

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	38	36	0.47	-0.97	1.43	-0.09	19	-24	43	15.3	16.4	-1.02	14.7	13.2	1.47
Ben McLemore	20	19	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-11	17	17.8	15.6	2.28	15.6	13.3	2.32
Quincy Acy	23	22	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	15.7	16.1	-0.33	14.5	13.5	0.93
Jason Thompson	66	66	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	-3	1	16.1	15.8	0.32	13.2	14.5	-1.32
Jimmer Fredette	18	17	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	18.7	15.5	3.21	15.2	13.4	1.80
Isaiah Thomas	89	90	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	1	-7	15.5	18.7	-3.21	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Carl Landry	53	53	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	1	-7	15.7	16.3	-0.64	13.6	13.8	-0.19
Aaron Gray	72	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	4	-13	16.2	15.6	0.64	14.0	13.1	0.97
Marcus Thornton	87	88	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.40	-11	6	-17	15.6	17.8	-2.28	13.3	15.6	-2.32
Derrick Williams	69	71	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.27	-22	17	-39	16.4	15.3	1.02	13.2	14.7	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.55,0.43,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.21,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.89,0.85,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.92,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.34,0.17,0	89.7%
TOR 99, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	89.5%
DEN 116, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.61,0.68,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.33,0.92,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.03,0,0	89.0%