inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 99 Excitement9.6 [75] MVPVince Carter (TOR): +62.0%
Atlanta Hawks 97 Comeback35.1 [23] LVPDion Glover (ATL): -32.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.620,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.34,0.620.120.50-0.002869%0.876-0.25683%0.05
Michael Curry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.020.001253%0.032-0.04875%0.02
Lamond Murray-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00856%0.042-0.06250%-0.01
Alvin Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00850%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.070.00642%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.060.01753%-0.061-0.03580%0.02
Milt Palacio-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.02633%0.014-0.1100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.090.090.030.060.00871%0.152-0.0510%-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.05,0.050.050.12-0.070.012068%0.222-0.174100%0.03
Travis Hansen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00650%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.011135%-0.0300.0010%-0.04
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.01750%0.022-0.1220%-0.03
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.14-0.12-0.011733%-0.193-0.06250%-0.02
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.32-0.32-0.12-0.21-0.011032%-0.301-0.02887%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.11.724.714.823.11.534.21.420.2143.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +50.1%
TOR +16.5%
ATL -25.5%
TOR +7.8%
TOR +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game16.216.215.7100.0100.0100.5
season16.815.394.898.2
opponent15.515.7103.098.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR18.215.316.516.613.016.2
ATL14.516.016.217.717.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson45430.67-0.170.840.506-41014.617.6-2.9916.815.71.11
Chris Bosh78770.65-0.150.810.457-51216.614.91.7516.415.40.97
Vince Carter85830.59-0.090.670.474-2616.415.40.9416.415.01.42
Alvin Williams65630.55-0.050.610.386-41016.016.7-0.6816.715.31.47
Antonio Davis7574-0.030.53-0.560.03-24-616.615.01.5716.017.0-1.03
Milt Palacio3434-0.050.55-0.610.06-46-1016.716.00.6815.316.7-1.47
Michael Curry3130-0.120.62-0.73-0.09-13-416.316.20.1315.716.5-0.80
Jerome Williams3434-0.120.62-0.75-0.04-35-815.616.6-0.9816.016.3-0.38
Lamond Murray3738-0.140.64-0.780.00-57-1217.815.32.5615.516.7-1.18

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Hansen28280.13-0.630.75-0.025-71215.116.7-1.5117.115.91.22
Nazr Mohammed30320.06-0.560.620.002-4614.617.0-2.3915.316.7-1.41
Lee Nailon1415-0.01-0.490.470.07-31-414.416.5-2.1714.916.5-1.61
Jacque Vaughn5253-0.15-0.350.20-0.243-5815.616.9-1.3416.016.5-0.54
Boris Diaw6364-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.524-61015.916.8-0.8416.415.90.54
Jason Terry7174-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.16-119-2017.113.73.4516.515.41.17
Shareef Abdur-Rahim8384-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.521-3416.514.42.1716.514.91.61
Theo Ratliff6767-0.560.06-0.62-0.44-42-617.014.62.3916.715.31.41
Dion Glover7778-0.590.09-0.68-0.39-75-1216.415.40.9715.718.4-2.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 110, LAC 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.16,0.15,090.3%
HOU 135, GSW 1340.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,089.8%
IND 96, MIL 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.16,089.7%