NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	9.6 [75]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +62.0%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	35.1 [23]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -32.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.62	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.34,0.62	0.12	0.50	-0.00	28	69%	0.87	6	-0.25	6	83%	0.05
Michael Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	12	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	6	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	53%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Milt Palacio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.07	0.01	20	68%	0.22	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	17	33%	-0.19	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.32	-0.32	-0.12	-0.21	-0.01	10	32%	-0.30	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	24.7	14.8	23.1	1.5	34.2	1.4	20.2	143.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.1%

TOR +16.5%

ATL -25.5%

TOR +7.8%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.7	100.0	100.0	100.5
season	16.8	15.3		94.8	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	18.2	15.3	16.5	16.6	13.0	16.2
ATL	14.5	16.0	16.2	17.7	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	45	43	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.50	6	-4	10	14.6	17.6	-2.99	16.8	15.7	1.11
Chris Bosh	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-5	12	16.6	14.9	1.75	16.4	15.4	0.97
Vince Carter	85	83	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-2	6	16.4	15.4	0.94	16.4	15.0	1.42
Alvin Williams	65	63	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	16.0	16.7	-0.68	16.7	15.3	1.47
Antonio Davis	75	74	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	16.6	15.0	1.57	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Milt Palacio	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	16.7	16.0	0.68	15.3	16.7	-1.47
Michael Curry	31	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	3	-4	16.3	16.2	0.13	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Jerome Williams	34	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	15.6	16.6	-0.98	16.0	16.3	-0.38
Lamond Murray	37	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	7	-12	17.8	15.3	2.56	15.5	16.7	-1.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Hansen	28	28	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-7	12	15.1	16.7	-1.51	17.1	15.9	1.22
Nazr Mohammed	30	32	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-4	6	14.6	17.0	-2.39	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Lee Nailon	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	1	-4	14.4	16.5	-2.17	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Jacque Vaughn	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-5	8	15.6	16.9	-1.34	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Boris Diaw	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-6	10	15.9	16.8	-0.84	16.4	15.9	0.54
Jason Terry	71	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	9	-20	17.1	13.7	3.45	16.5	15.4	1.17
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.52	1	-3	4	16.5	14.4	2.17	16.5	14.9	1.61
Theo Ratliff	67	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	2	-6	17.0	14.6	2.39	16.7	15.3	1.41
Dion Glover	77	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	5	-12	16.4	15.4	0.97	15.7	18.4	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 110, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.16,0.15,0	90.3%
HOU 135, GSW 134	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,0	89.8%
IND 96, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.16,0	89.7%