NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	10.8 [26]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +30.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	28.1 [24]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): -25.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.17	0.01	11	87%	0.34	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	-0.06	0.13	0.00	14	41%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.00	14	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	26	45%	-0.12	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	8	64%	0.02	4	-0.22	6	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.04,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	14	68%	0.18	1	-0.05	10	80%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	3	22%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.07
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	89%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	15	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	18	45%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	12	40%	-0.16	2	-0.10	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	29.0	15.8	34.6	1.8	38.4	1.5	25.1	174.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +51.3%

GSW +16.2%

LAC -6.1%

LAC -6.7%

LAC -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.6	112.2	106.9	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		100.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	16.2	15.1	14.9	19.1	17.1	16.3
LAC	15.1	16.2	15.7	17.9	11.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	74	77	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.41	16	-14	30	16.0	17.0	-1.00	15.6	16.0	-0.47
Chris Mills	51	53	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.38	12	-10	22	16.5	16.0	0.47	16.2	15.1	1.18
Antawn Jamison	86	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.50	0	2	-2	16.7	13.1	3.65	15.2	18.6	-3.37
Jason Richardson	54	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	1	0	16.7	15.8	0.93	16.0	15.3	0.64
Troy Murphy	26	31	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.53	-7	9	-16	15.1	16.7	-1.65	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Danny Fortson	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	-1	4	15.5	16.8	-1.28	15.6	15.7	-0.14
Bob Sura	44	47	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	15.8	16.7	-0.93	15.3	16.0	-0.64
Erick Dampier	56	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.31	10	-8	18	16.4	16.1	0.29	18.6	12.2	6.36
Adonal Foyle	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	14	-26	16.4	16.2	0.21	12.7	17.3	-4.60
Mookie Blaylock	24	24	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.03	-14	16	-30	17.0	16.0	1.00	16.0	15.6	0.47

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	43	40	0.50	-1.00	1.51	0.21	10	-12	22	16.1	15.4	0.67	17.3	15.6	1.71
Sean Rooks	14	13	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-9	16	12.9	16.1	-3.28	18.3	16.0	2.33
Michael Olowokandi	53	51	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.16	-3	1	-4	16.7	14.6	2.14	15.5	17.1	-1.54
Darius Miles	51	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-3	4	16.2	15.2	0.96	17.2	15.4	1.78
Corey Maggette	27	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-4	6	16.4	15.4	1.04	17.3	15.9	1.39
Eric Piatkowski	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	0	-2	16.2	15.3	0.84	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Elton Brand	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	5	-12	15.8	15.5	0.24	15.7	17.7	-2.05
Quentin Richardson	64	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-2	2	15.4	16.1	-0.71	17.4	14.5	2.92
Lamar Odom	82	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	3	-8	14.9	19.3	-4.41	15.8	18.5	-2.71
Jeff McInnis	58	58	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.63	-13	11	-24	15.4	16.1	-0.67	15.6	17.3	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.92,0.5,0.25,0.04,0.09,0.04,0	90.5%
TOR 99, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	90.3%
CLE 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	89.8%