NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	9.8 [84]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +43.8%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	35.9 [20]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (POR): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44	0.11	0.35	0.02	15	64%	0.46	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14	-0.00	0.14	0.01	23	52%	0.24	4	-0.10	15	80%	-0.00
Ime Udoka	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.09	0.01	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	14	49%	0.12	2	-0.19	7	86%	0.06
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	13	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	8	67%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.01	20	64%	0.18	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.17,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.08	0.00	5	43%	0.19	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.07	0.02	16	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	1.0	31.7	15.8	29.1	2.4	35.7	1.8	18.0	157.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +5.6%

POR +36.1%

POR +16.4%

SAC -7.5%

SAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.4	105.8	100.0	104.5
season	16.7	14.7		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.5	17.5	16.1	16.0	17.3	16.1
SAC	14.3	13.8	13.9	16.0	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	88	90	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.49	16	-11	27	15.6	19.1	-3.57	14.6	12.9	1.71
Brandon Roy	84	84	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-7	19	15.5	18.5	-3.03	14.9	12.2	2.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	47	46	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-3	11	15.8	16.4	-0.58	12.4	15.8	-3.46
Jarrett Jack	88	92	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	1	3	15.6	19.1	-3.57	14.4	14.1	0.29
Martell Webster	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-5	15	16.8	15.7	1.09	14.7	14.1	0.57
Ime Udoka	63	65	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	10	-15	15.5	17.0	-1.56	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Sergio Rodriguez	9	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	3	-1	22.4	15.5	6.94	15.6	14.2	1.40
Jamaal Magloire	44	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.32	0	5	-5	17.5	15.0	2.50	15.6	13.5	2.07
Joel Przybilla	29	30	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.12	-15	20	-35	16.1	16.1	-0.00	15.2	14.0	1.26
Juan Dixon	28	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.16	-7	12	-19	18.0	15.4	2.54	11.8	15.3	-3.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	23	24	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.44	5	-10	15	16.5	13.7	2.80	16.7	15.9	0.84
Corliss Williamson	38	42	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.38	-3	-2	-1	15.4	13.7	1.66	17.5	15.2	2.34
Kenny Thomas	44	45	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.13	11	-16	27	14.5	14.2	0.21	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Francisco Garcia	1	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	12.0	14.4	-2.36	9.5	16.2	-6.74
Quincy Douby	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-2	-1	16.0	14.1	1.86	19.7	15.7	3.98
Brad Miller	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	4	-13	14.2	14.4	-0.21	16.6	16.0	0.61
John Salmons	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.73	17.2	14.6	2.60
Metta World Peace	91	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-7	9	14.1	16.1	-2.09	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Mike Bibby	91	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-3	1	14.0	16.7	-2.75	15.4	20.0	-4.55
Kevin Martin	83	81	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.57	-13	8	-21	14.5	13.5	1.00	15.7	17.7	-1.99
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	59	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.79	-8	3	-11	14.0	14.9	-0.91	15.3	17.1	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.44,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.06,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.17,0	89.1%
WAS 114, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.16,0.11,0.02,0	89.1%
CLE 114, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.91,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	89.1%