NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	8.5 [207]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +41.8%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	4.4 [311]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -24.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21	0.16	0.08	0.03	12	74%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.10
Marko Jaric	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.00	0.10	-0.02	18	51%	0.24	3	-0.12	11	91%	0.04
Craig Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	16	39%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Randy Foye	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.04,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	9	40%	-0.07	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.37,0.42	0.42	0.12	0.30	0.00	11	70%	0.42	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.12	0.01	7	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	9	59%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	18	70%	0.30	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.04
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	12	33%	-0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	12	37%	-0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.6	17.7	26.9	1.7	40.4	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +56.2%

MIN -16.2%

MIN -9.5%

TOR +18.3%

TOR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.4	106.6	111.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.2		101.9	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	15.2	16.7	15.9	15.7
TOR	19.3	16.1	16.0	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	26	24	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-3	3	16.8	15.3	1.58	17.8	15.5	2.29
Trenton Hassell	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	1	-5	16.6	15.3	1.32	15.4	16.5	-1.07
Ricky Davis	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-2	1	15.4	16.6	-1.16	16.9	13.7	3.16
Mike James	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-2	1	15.4	16.4	-1.03	15.5	17.5	-2.07
Kevin Garnett	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.2	18.5	-3.29	15.4	20.7	-5.35
Marko Jaric	71	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-2	1	15.4	17.0	-1.65	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Randy Foye	45	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-2	1	15.6	15.8	-0.14	15.5	16.7	-1.28
Mark Blount	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	3	-9	16.4	12.8	3.55	17.1	11.4	5.68

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-5	13	15.9	17.0	-1.11	15.8	15.4	0.34
Andrea Bargnani	52	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-6	15	16.0	16.3	-0.26	16.1	15.1	1.02
Jorge Garbajosa	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	15.8	19.1	-3.31	16.0	13.1	2.89
T.J. Ford	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	15.8	16.7	-0.90	14.8	17.7	-2.84
Rasho Nesterovic	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	1	1	16.6	15.2	1.42	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Jose Calderon	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	4	-5	14.7	16.8	-2.09	16.1	15.5	0.63
Kris Humphries	15	17	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	3	-3	15.6	16.2	-0.61	16.8	15.5	1.36
Joey Graham	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	2	-1	17.7	15.0	2.69	16.2	15.4	0.79
Fred Jones	39	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	16.8	15.6	1.21	14.9	16.3	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.19,0.28,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 71, DET 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.67,0.85,1	91.6%
CHH 76, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.45,0.72,1	91.3%
ORL 94, GSW 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.36,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.53,0.84,1	91.1%