NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	76		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (HOU): +10.6%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	2.7 [639]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -63.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.04	0.14	-0.00	9	44%	0.17	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.06
Shane Battier	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Lucas III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	6	25%	-0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.63	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.52,-0.63	-0.20	-0.45	-0.01	22	37%	-0.33	7	-0.31	7	57%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	65%	0.15	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.07	0.00	24	45%	0.18	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.01	14	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.08	-0.24	0.01	16	47%	-0.09	5	-0.24	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	28.1	15.8	24.8	2.0	34.4	129.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.8%

HOU -13.2%

IND +21.6%

HOU -1.0%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.4	81.7	87.1	104.5
season	15.6	15.3		103.6	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	13.6	15.9	15.6	15.2
IND	12.6	17.7	15.4	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	50	50	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-12	19	14.7	15.7	-0.98	18.3	12.9	5.38
Steve Novak	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-5	5	8.0	15.4	-7.35	0.0	16.1	-16.12
John Lucas III	4	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	17.2	15.1	2.15	15.8	15.8	0.06
Dikembe Mutombo	39	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.5	1.74	13.8	17.1	-3.22
Shane Battier	73	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-8	11	15.2	15.0	0.25	16.1	14.8	1.31
Luther Head	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	1	-7	13.7	16.4	-2.66	15.5	16.0	-0.46
Rafer Alston	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-4	3	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.2	17.3	-2.18
Tracy McGrady	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	3	-11	15.4	14.3	1.10	16.0	15.1	0.91
Bonzi Wells	60	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.8	-0.97	17.3	13.1	4.23
Juwan Howard	55	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	3	-11	15.5	14.8	0.73	14.1	18.4	-4.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	68	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-2	9	16.7	13.2	3.52	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Al Harrington	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	15.5	16.8	-1.28	16.1	12.3	3.77
Jamaal Tinsley	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	0	5	15.1	18.3	-3.28	15.5	14.1	1.38
Stephen Jackson	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	15.0	19.2	-4.21	15.4	14.5	0.86
Jeff Foster	69	70	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	2	1	15.5	16.7	-1.20	15.5	14.3	1.24
Darrell Armstrong	20	22	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	0	5	17.8	15.2	2.64	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Maceo Baston	29	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	17.3	15.1	2.18	13.8	15.8	-2.09
Sarunas Jasikevicius	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	7	-9	18.6	14.9	3.71	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Marquis Daniels	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	16.3	15.7	0.57	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Shawne Williams	25	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	7	-9	13.2	16.7	-3.52	15.5	15.1	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.47,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	91.0%
OKC 99, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.68,0.87,1	91.0%
SAS 119, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.72,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.83,1	90.9%