inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 90 Excitement5.6 [719] MVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): +18.0%
Indiana Pacers 101 Comeback1.1 [620] LVPCarlos Delfino (DET): -11.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.060.01970%0.152-0.042100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.03-0.011361%0.103-0.0710100%0.05
Jason Maxiell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.00543%0.0200.004100%0.02
Dale Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.001150%0.0200.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001941%-0.031-0.02683%-0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.01650%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.060.02741%-0.041-0.06333%-0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.040.00517%-0.071-0.052100%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.09-0.021758%0.211-0.03250%-0.01
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.04-0.01862%0.1300.00580%0.01
Maceo Baston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00283%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.03-0.021544%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021264%0.083-0.071100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.010.051759%0.113-0.1010100%0.05
Darrell Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00440%-0.021-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.431.315.623.21.830.2130.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +31.1%
IND +8.1%
IND +8.5%
IND +1.2%
IND +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game15.816.515.4102.3112.2104.5
season16.815.3106.1101.3
opponent15.315.7103.9101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.418.616.414.215.8
IND15.015.017.918.516.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nazr Mohammed3636-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-111115.616.0-0.4016.116.9-0.80
Jason Maxiell55-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-6120.415.54.8613.816.7-2.89
Carlos Delfino2120-0.09-0.410.31-0.03-2-9716.915.51.4317.516.21.31
Antonio McDyess3435-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-9716.215.60.5817.316.11.23
Rasheed Wallace6871-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.23-1-10915.616.5-0.8816.217.6-1.39
Dale Davis2324-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-3-516.315.70.6016.716.50.24
Ronald Murray4344-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.14-7-4-315.216.4-1.2417.615.52.07
Chauncey Billups6566-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-9-2-715.416.9-1.4216.416.9-0.47
Tayshaun Prince6263-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.10-10-1-915.616.4-0.8616.117.4-1.30
Richard Hamilton8386-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.16-110-1116.111.64.4716.419.7-3.37

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal72680.78-0.281.060.1422-113317.014.82.1316.114.71.38
Sarunas Jasikevicius29300.410.090.320.091101116.716.40.2816.015.70.28
Al Harrington59610.390.110.270.061101116.816.10.6715.516.6-1.12
Jamaal Tinsley67660.300.200.110.1074316.915.41.4815.516.8-1.27
Shawne Williams15140.240.26-0.020.0474315.916.7-0.7217.515.52.00
Jeff Foster59550.150.35-0.190.18-112-1316.017.6-1.6015.915.60.29
Maceo Baston26270.140.36-0.220.0247-316.016.7-0.7516.615.51.06
Stephen Jackson68680.120.38-0.250.12011-1116.616.40.2215.118.1-3.02
Danny Granger51490.080.42-0.340.14-213-1516.616.50.1316.215.30.92
Darrell Armstrong42-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-415-1910.016.8-6.8412.015.9-3.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.93,0.83,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 108, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.92,194.1%
SAS 88, NOH 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,193.8%
DAL 84, MIN 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,193.7%