inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 88 Excitement5.6 [677] MVPJason Smith (NOH): +8.6%
New Orleans Hornets 95 Comeback1.1 [319] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -18.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.010.011368%0.132-0.045100%0.03
Gary Neal0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.020.020.01950%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02467%0.0300.004100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.010.05683%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01542%-0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Tony Parker-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.001162%0.085-0.15450%-0.03
Stephen Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01643%0.002-0.07250%-0.01
Danny Green-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.0050%-0.102-0.0400%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.190,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.11-0.060.021442%-0.075-0.123100%0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.004100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Eric Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.07-0.012248%0.132-0.056100%0.03
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.011361%0.081-0.02250%-0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.02-0.00-0.031346%0.0500.002100%0.01
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.00642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donald Sloan00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.01667%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.010.041064%0.043-0.08250%-0.01
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.11-0.060.01540%-0.025-0.1600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.330.515.425.41.525.6124.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +29.8%
SAS -3.4%
NOH +12.7%
NOH +9.9%
NOH +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOHNBASASNOHNBA
this game15.715.715.495.7103.3104.1
season15.216.3106.4103.9
opponent15.615.1108.199.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.417.612.617.715.7
NOH14.614.415.618.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Jackson34320.12-0.620.74-0.128-152316.914.92.0016.515.21.35
Nando De Colo34-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-111511.715.8-4.1216.715.61.15
Patty Mills34-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-111511.715.8-4.1216.715.61.15
Matt Bonner1616-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-7716.015.60.4213.216.2-2.98
Tiago Splitter5049-0.15-0.350.19-0.09-2-5315.615.7-0.0716.714.42.32
Gary Neal5149-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-111516.314.81.4816.115.11.01
Boris Diaw3939-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-3-116.015.40.6515.315.9-0.64
Manu Ginobili4745-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-81-916.314.91.4115.715.60.12
Kawhi Leonard6161-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.15-6-1-515.216.6-1.4016.015.00.98
Danny Green3940-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.17-6-1-514.816.3-1.5315.915.50.44
Tim Duncan5355-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-136-1915.116.4-1.3214.517.4-2.89
Tony Parker6466-0.560.06-0.63-0.09-169-2515.516.0-0.5515.216.7-1.50

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Gordon67640.69-0.190.870.1618-112915.117.2-2.1815.316.5-1.22
Greivis Vasquez70690.470.030.450.219-21115.217.0-1.7115.316.8-1.51
Ryan Anderson61590.460.040.430.2670715.615.8-0.1816.214.61.63
Al-Farouq Aminu73720.400.100.300.178-1915.516.3-0.8415.416.6-1.21
Anthony Davis52520.270.230.040.0961515.316.1-0.8815.016.5-1.54
Robin Lopez42420.270.230.030.038-1914.716.5-1.8115.116.1-1.07
Lance Thomas19200.100.40-0.300.13-18-916.315.50.8416.615.41.21
Jason Smith28300.000.50-0.500.15-512-1717.914.73.1716.815.11.65
Donald Sloan110.000.50-0.500.06-29-1119.015.63.387.015.7-8.75
Brian Roberts2324-0.080.58-0.650.07-512-1717.215.12.0917.215.12.05
Austin Rivers2427-0.080.58-0.670.15-815-2317.015.21.8216.115.40.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 104, IND 1160.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,194.1%
CLE 110, TOR 1260.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,194.0%
UTA 80, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,193.9%