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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 84 Excitement5.7 [688] MVPTyus Jones (MIN): +19.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves 97 Comeback1.3 [929] LVPYogi Ferrell (DAL): -11.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Harris0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.050.11-0.00580%0.191-0.0300%0.00
Seth Curry0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.10.19-0.020.071786%0.224-0.122100%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.001756%0.073-0.06250%-0.01
Dwight Powell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Nicolas Brussino-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.061429%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.01935%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Yogi Ferrell-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02926%-0.063-0.0510%-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.110.080.00685%0.1900.0010%-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.07-0.011867%0.277-0.18367%-0.01
Kris Dunn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.00638%0.0000.001100%0.00
Cole Aldrich00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.010.032157%0.084-0.08580%0.01
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01550%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00250%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.02-0.021346%0.063-0.07250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.027.015.624.52.428.6124.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +31.9%
MIN +8.4%
MIN +5.4%
MIN +2.2%
MIN +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMINNBADALMINNBA
this game16.015.314.892.3104.3107.7
season16.215.3104.4109.3
opponent14.714.7110.2107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.618.515.815.216.0
MIN13.714.314.219.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith2931-0.06-0.440.380.15-7-6-114.416.7-2.2316.414.81.52
Devin Harris3131-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-10716.815.51.2716.714.72.00
Dirk Nowitzki5958-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-7116.015.90.0914.916.1-1.28
Nicolas Brussino1919-0.16-0.340.180.08-8-5-318.415.33.1015.615.30.30
Dwight Powell1314-0.16-0.340.180.07-8-5-317.115.81.2915.115.4-0.24
Salah Mejri3536-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-11916.915.41.5915.115.5-0.47
Yogi Ferrell5758-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.20-4-9516.714.81.8715.315.4-0.14
Harrison Barnes7072-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.28-5-8315.417.8-2.3315.813.82.04
Seth Curry7173-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.13-11-2-915.418.0-2.6114.917.0-2.11
Wesley Matthews7173-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.13-11-2-915.418.0-2.6114.917.0-2.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gorgui Dieng64640.76-0.261.020.0325-123714.517.2-2.6615.616.9-1.26
Karl-Anthony Towns77750.57-0.070.640.1016-31915.514.51.0215.816.6-0.72
Ricky Rubio68680.55-0.050.590.1115-21715.115.9-0.7915.317.9-2.55
Andrew Wiggins75740.470.030.450.15112914.817.5-2.6715.518.2-2.72
Tyus Jones43430.280.220.060.0585317.313.73.5617.015.02.05
Brandon Rush48480.210.29-0.080.0949-513.817.0-3.2515.216.8-1.61
Shabazz Muhammad2927-0.010.51-0.53-0.01013-1317.314.52.8617.515.32.15
Kris Dunn2523-0.050.55-0.590.01-215-1715.915.10.7917.915.32.55
Cole Aldrich66-0.080.58-0.670.03-417-2114.215.4-1.2617.215.91.28
Nemanja Bjelica3027-0.190.69-0.880.04-821-2916.115.01.0716.415.80.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 82, LAL 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.3%
DET 73, IND 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.98,194.1%
DET 90, IND 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.93,0.83,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.98,1,1,193.7%