NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	5.9 [643]		MVP	Mo Williams (MIL): +19.4%
New York Knicks	115		Comeback	1.8 [685]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -7.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	-0.02	0.01	22	73%	0.23	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.16	-0.09	0.06	16	71%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Noel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	22	42%	0.01	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.05
Andrew Bogut	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.02	18	64%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	14	69%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.07	0.03	24	71%	0.29	6	-0.24	3	67%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	16	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	25.4	17.6	25.2	2.7	34.2	130.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.7%

NYK +1.6%

NYK +14.3%

MIL -12.4%

NYK +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.4	116.3	126.4	104.5
season	15.2	15.7		105.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	14.9	15.5	14.0	14.9
NYK	13.8	17.1	16.5	19.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Noel	17	14	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-12	16	13.8	15.1	-1.37	17.1	16.5	0.64
Charlie Villanueva	47	47	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.31	12	-20	32	14.6	15.1	-0.50	17.7	15.4	2.31
Steve Blake	48	48	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-17	26	14.0	15.8	-1.84	17.8	15.3	2.51
Brian Skinner	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.28	8	-16	24	13.4	15.3	-1.93	19.6	15.6	4.02
Dan Gadzuric	40	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	15.6	14.3	1.27	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Andrew Bogut	30	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	5	-18	15.0	14.8	0.18	16.6	16.6	0.01
Mo Williams	84	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-6	4	15.1	12.7	2.33	16.4	19.0	-2.63
Ruben Patterson	45	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	12	-32	15.1	14.6	0.50	15.4	17.7	-2.31
Charlie Bell	51	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.00	-20	12	-32	15.7	13.9	1.76	15.7	17.8	-2.10
Michael Redd	76	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.25	-15	7	-22	14.9	14.6	0.31	16.6	16.5	0.17

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-3	14	16.4	17.7	-1.31	15.0	14.1	0.89
Jamal Crawford	80	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	16.6	16.7	-0.14	14.9	14.8	0.09
Quentin Richardson	84	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	3	2	17.1	11.0	6.07	14.9	14.5	0.42
Eddy Curry	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	0	8	16.3	18.1	-1.73	14.7	16.2	-1.57
Stephon Marbury	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-1	10	15.5	17.8	-2.26	15.3	14.5	0.76
Nate Robinson	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	8	-8	17.3	15.6	1.75	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Malik Rose	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	-1	10	16.4	16.7	-0.28	15.7	14.7	0.98
Jerome James	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	12	-16	25.3	16.3	9.03	16.0	14.9	1.14
Mardy Collins	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	10	-12	31.0	16.4	14.56	6.0	15.0	-8.98
Renaldo Balkman	16	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	13	-18	15.0	16.9	-1.95	14.2	15.0	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.71,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.71,0.85,0.84,1	93.6%
DET 85, CHH 93	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.5%
ATL 92, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.3%