NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	4.3 [960]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +27.6%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.5 [657]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.04	18	85%	0.29	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.22	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.03	0.02	24	66%	0.26	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	38%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donell Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	87%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	53%	0.01	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	17	52%	0.06	5	-0.10	8	50%	-0.03
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	14	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.3	15.4	33.2	2.0	30.0	133.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +50.0%

WAS +2.9%

NYK -17.8%

WAS +16.8%

NYK -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.4	115.3	108.5	104.5
season	14.8	15.7		107.8	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.7	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.4	13.5	13.9	19.1	14.3
NYK	17.4	17.2	13.3	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	70	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-16	43	13.6	16.2	-2.64	16.7	13.0	3.79
Antawn Jamison	88	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-6	23	14.1	16.5	-2.42	15.9	13.9	2.01
Etan Thomas	47	45	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-7	25	12.7	15.8	-3.12	16.6	14.9	1.77
Caron Butler	66	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-5	21	14.2	14.7	-0.49	16.5	13.9	2.65
Gilbert Arenas	78	77	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-4	19	13.8	16.5	-2.79	16.1	14.1	2.01
Jarvis Hayes	33	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	17	-23	15.4	13.8	1.61	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Antonio Daniels	44	42	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	12	-13	16.5	12.6	3.90	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Donell Taylor	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	16	-21	17.1	14.0	3.09	12.8	16.0	-3.23
Brendan Haywood	42	40	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	16	-21	14.1	14.5	-0.45	15.1	16.1	-1.05
James Lang	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	19.2	14.1	5.13	9.3	15.9	-6.58
Roger Mason Jr.	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	19.2	14.1	5.13	9.3	15.9	-6.58
Andray Blatche	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	19.2	14.1	5.13	9.3	15.9	-6.58

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	13.3	15.9	-2.53	20.2	13.9	6.22
Nate Robinson	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-10	9	15.8	15.7	0.08	15.7	14.1	1.62
Jamal Crawford	50	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.37	11	-22	33	14.2	17.4	-3.12	15.8	12.6	3.27
Renaldo Balkman	51	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-13	15	14.1	17.6	-3.42	15.2	13.2	2.04
David Lee	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-14	17	15.7	15.7	0.03	12.9	18.0	-5.12
Quentin Richardson	83	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	15.7	15.6	0.07	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Steve Francis	58	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.28	-26	15	-41	16.7	14.1	2.62	13.1	16.4	-3.25
Stephon Marbury	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	6	-23	15.9	15.1	0.70	13.7	16.5	-2.86
Eddy Curry	66	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	13	-37	17.2	12.3	4.87	15.0	12.8	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
NOH 105, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
TOR 107, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%