NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	3.5 [1146]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +12.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	1.2 [453]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -9.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	11	87%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	17	60%	0.15	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.04	14	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	64%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	12	76%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.04	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	27.8	14.8	24.2	2.5	26.6	119.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.1%

POR -4.3%

POR -4.4%

HOU +13.9%

HOU +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	16.0	15.5	115.7	98.9	105.7
season	15.2	16.5		109.5	106.7
opponent	15.7	14.9		105.6	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	14.8	15.8	21.6	16.5
POR	15.2	14.0	19.4	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	73	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-4	24	16.7	15.6	1.06	16.1	16.0	0.06
Kevin Martin	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-5	26	16.5	16.6	-0.12	16.0	16.4	-0.38
Luis Scola	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-2	20	16.6	15.9	0.67	16.4	14.1	2.35
Charles Hayes	63	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	3	10	17.0	15.3	1.73	16.1	15.9	0.28
Chase Budinger	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	8	0	15.2	19.1	-3.98	16.8	14.7	2.09
Courtney Lee	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	11	-6	18.7	14.8	3.87	15.7	16.3	-0.54
Brad Miller	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	13	-10	15.3	17.0	-1.73	15.9	16.1	-0.28
Patrick Patterson	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	18	-20	15.9	16.6	-0.67	14.1	16.4	-2.35
Goran Dragic	16	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	20	-24	15.6	16.7	-1.06	16.0	16.1	-0.06
Terrence Williams	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	18	-20	16.1	16.5	-0.43	13.3	16.4	-3.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.7	16.1	-2.46	25.3	16.2	9.15
Luke Babbitt	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	0.0	16.0	-16.05	30.0	16.3	13.66
Armon Johnson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	0.0	16.0	-16.05	30.0	16.3	13.66
Patty Mills	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-17	18	16.1	16.0	0.12	15.7	16.8	-1.08
Marcus Camby	35	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	-4	-8	18.4	14.5	3.96	15.8	16.9	-1.07
Nicolas Batum	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-4	-8	16.5	14.6	1.87	17.0	15.1	1.90
Gerald Wallace	63	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-8	0	14.8	19.3	-4.52	16.7	15.9	0.85
Brandon Roy	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	15.5	16.5	-1.04	15.1	17.6	-2.53
Wesley Matthews	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	0	-16	15.7	17.3	-1.55	16.4	16.7	-0.24
Andre Miller	64	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-1	-14	16.3	15.5	0.81	16.8	15.7	1.08
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	16.1	15.7	0.41	16.2	18.1	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SEA 110, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%