NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	110		Excitement	4.0 [973]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): +17.3%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.3 [515]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -14.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.02	16	79%	0.22	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	79%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	55%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.03	18	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Duane Causwell	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Hurley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	13	48%	-0.00	3	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	2	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Lionel Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	0.07	13	50%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	31.2	16.8	27.1	2.3	22.6	122.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.1%

SEA +3.6%

SAC -1.3%

SEA +3.6%

SEA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.6	118.3	101.1	104.4
season	14.9	15.4		108.9	102.4
opponent	15.4	16.2		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.0	14.0	16.0	16.7	14.9
SAC	17.5	16.7	15.3	14.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	76	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-4	24	14.8	15.3	-0.47	16.0	16.2	-0.15
Gary Payton	73	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	5	6	14.4	16.7	-2.34	16.2	15.5	0.67
Hersey Hawkins	59	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	7	2	14.1	16.4	-2.31	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Detlef Schrempf	77	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	13	-10	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.8	17.2	-1.37
Sam Perkins	48	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	6	4	15.0	14.8	0.26	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Jim McIlvaine	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	11	-6	14.9	14.9	-0.06	17.6	14.8	2.83
Eric Snow	31	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	8	0	16.2	14.3	1.87	16.8	15.6	1.23
Craig Ehlo	39	41	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	16.0	14.1	1.91	16.4	15.8	0.60
David Wingate	17	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	10	-4	15.4	14.8	0.54	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Larry Stewart	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	13.3	15.0	-1.63	8.3	16.3	-7.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Hurley	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	8.3	16.3	-7.98	13.3	15.0	-1.63
Lionel Simmons	35	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-17	18	14.6	16.9	-2.38	15.7	14.4	1.27
Tyus Edney	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-9	2	16.5	15.9	0.61	15.9	14.4	1.50
Corliss Williamson	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-3	-10	15.6	16.4	-0.77	14.1	15.4	-1.24
Duane Causwell	51	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-9	2	17.4	14.4	2.96	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Michael Smith	55	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-9	2	15.9	16.3	-0.44	15.9	13.4	2.46
Olden Polynice	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-10	4	15.4	17.1	-1.68	15.2	14.4	0.81
Billy Owens	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	15.8	16.9	-1.16	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	58	56	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.9	14.6	2.33	14.2	15.9	-1.67
Mitch Richmond	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	-3	-10	16.4	14.9	1.53	14.9	14.9	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
SAS 104, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%