NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	105		Excitement	3.6 [1109]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): +17.4%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.6 [361]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -10.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.21	0.02	0.06	21	74%	0.18	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	13	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	9	74%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.00	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	7	6%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	51%	0.02	0	0.00	13	85%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	15	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	8	11%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.0	16.8	25.2	2.4	28.5	128.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +41.9%

DET -0.4%

NOH +5.4%

NOH +1.9%

NOH +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DET	NBA	NOH	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.4	111.7	91.5	104.1
season	16.3	15.7		103.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.5	15.5	13.3	19.8	15.9
DET	17.3	14.5	14.9	12.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.24	27	-8	35	15.3	18.0	-2.74	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Robin Lopez	73	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.18	24	-5	29	15.6	16.9	-1.29	14.8	14.5	0.26
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-1	21	14.4	18.4	-4.03	15.2	14.0	1.17
Austin Rivers	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	0	19	15.8	16.1	-0.34	14.8	14.6	0.20
Anthony Davis	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	8	3	14.0	17.0	-2.99	15.7	14.2	1.52
Ryan Anderson	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	11	-3	17.0	14.0	2.99	14.2	15.7	-1.52
Roger Mason Jr.	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	17	-15	17.5	14.7	2.85	13.8	15.5	-1.67
Brian Roberts	25	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	22	-25	17.3	15.4	1.87	14.9	14.7	0.24
Jason Smith	21	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	24	-29	16.9	15.6	1.29	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Darius Miller	21	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	27	-35	17.9	15.3	2.58	15.2	14.6	0.66

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kim English	16	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-20	21	12.2	15.3	-3.07	18.8	15.4	3.45
Jonas Jerebko	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-22	25	11.9	15.3	-3.41	20.1	15.0	5.09
Will Bynum	44	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-22	25	14.2	15.2	-1.04	16.4	15.5	0.91
Rodney Stuckey	59	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-17	15	14.4	15.3	-0.92	16.4	15.1	1.21
Charlie Villanueva	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-15	11	14.4	14.9	-0.49	16.5	15.5	1.00
Greg Monroe	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-9	-1	15.1	13.1	2.04	15.6	17.0	-1.36
Kyle Singler	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	3	-25	15.2	14.0	1.17	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Jose Calderon	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-2	-15	15.2	13.7	1.51	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Brandon Knight	50	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	5	-29	15.2	14.2	1.04	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Jason Maxiell	49	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.17	-23	4	-27	15.3	14.1	1.20	14.3	17.7	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
POR 116, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NYK 118, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%