inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 82 Excitement2.3 [1274] MVPAndres Nocioni (CHI): +16.2%
Chicago Bulls 100 Comeback1.2 [1168] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -11.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Gomes0.070,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.011073%0.123-0.04683%0.02
Brian Scalabrine-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Allan Ray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05669%-0.0010.0010%0.00
Leon Powe-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05337%0.002-0.00250%0.00
Gerald Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04743%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.0730%-0.011-0.0020%-0.03
Al Jefferson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02631%-0.0200.00475%0.01
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.110.000.13869%-0.021-0.001377%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Delonte West-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00167%0.014-0.064100%0.01
Paul Pierce-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.15-0.00-0.031331%-0.064-0.0500%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.190.020.041087%0.161-0.00367%-0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03478%0.0300.001100%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02756%0.0200.002100%0.01
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03350%0.0210.002100%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.031152%0.033-0.03540%-0.01
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04650%0.012-0.00250%-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.000.07671%0.0000.002100%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.09425%-0.003-0.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.031042%0.032-0.04667%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04425%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.021042%-0.043-0.024100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.627.515.728.01.528.6130.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +23.9%
CHI +7.0%
CHI +8.3%
CHI +9.8%
CHI +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHINBABOSCHINBA
this game15.614.815.486.3105.3104.5
season15.514.5101.7103.1
opponent15.915.398.1105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.117.016.812.815.6
CHI15.915.113.214.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allan Ray2525-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-192014.715.9-1.1412.615.5-2.93
Leon Powe3130-0.03-0.470.45-0.299-273614.116.2-2.1214.714.8-0.08
Gerald Green4038-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-212414.316.5-2.1714.714.8-0.12
Rajon Rondo3635-0.20-0.300.09-0.200-181813.616.8-3.2215.514.31.11
Delonte West4344-0.22-0.280.060.13-12-6-616.514.81.7014.315.2-0.86
Brian Scalabrine2424-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-12613.516.3-2.8117.513.83.72
Kendrick Perkins3031-0.24-0.260.020.17-14-4-1017.514.72.8414.714.8-0.07
Ryan Gomes5657-0.25-0.25-0.010.22-16-2-1416.614.12.5613.916.1-2.16
Al Jefferson3736-0.26-0.24-0.010.18-15-3-1216.015.30.7714.814.70.12
Sebastian Telfair4546-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-13-5-816.714.52.1515.214.40.76
Tony Allen5757-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.15-4-141014.716.8-2.1015.313.91.39
Paul Pierce5152-0.41-0.09-0.320.26-235-2816.714.22.5614.515.1-0.61

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich57560.490.010.48-0.3930-124214.515.2-0.7116.314.51.82
Michael Sweetney38380.420.080.330.04135815.014.60.4015.315.7-0.40
Andres Nocioni45450.350.150.20-0.181801815.014.60.3816.414.81.60
Chris Duhon48490.330.170.16-0.081441014.714.9-0.1816.614.42.22
Luol Deng55550.250.250.01-0.271801815.014.40.6217.013.53.51
Ben Wallace33340.180.32-0.14-0.291621413.815.3-1.4418.014.23.85
Tyrus Thomas52520.180.32-0.140.15117-1613.616.1-2.5214.017.4-3.40
Ben Gordon42410.170.33-0.15-0.06810-215.913.91.9715.815.40.39
P.J. Brown29290.120.39-0.270.14-119-2016.014.21.8413.916.3-2.44
Thabo Sefolosha31320.000.50-0.490.30-1028-3814.514.9-0.4113.616.6-3.01
Adrian Griffin29290.000.50-0.500.32-1129-4014.814.80.0012.916.7-3.88
Malik Allen16150.000.50-0.500.18-624-3015.014.70.2913.815.9-2.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 120, LAC 1520.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CHA 68, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
ATL 65, BOS 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%