inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 65 Excitement2.1 [1286] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +6.1%
Boston Celtics 99 Comeback1.2 [1277] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -15.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.051744%0.032-0.012100%0.00
Jeremy Richardson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05420%-0.0000.0020%0.00
Salim Stoudamire-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07683%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Josh Childress-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01641%-0.021-0.025100%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.021129%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Al Horford-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.00-0.021230%-0.063-0.06367%0.00
Josh Smith-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.17-0.00-0.021129%-0.075-0.08250%-0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011367%0.073-0.0110%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.02856%0.0500.002100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.05583%0.0300.002100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01460%0.0210.002100%0.01
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.08580%0.021-0.02580%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.012047%0.042-0.04786%-0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.011229%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.73.631.318.735.23.530.5148.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +25.9%
BOS +7.0%
BOS +2.7%
BOS +14.2%
BOS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLBOSNBAATLBOSNBA
this game16.217.615.473.9119.3105.7
season15.415.6104.2108.0
opponent15.915.798.3107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.717.715.815.716.2
BOS15.620.216.218.717.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Richardson320.00-0.500.50-0.062-36387.316.5-9.1524.517.47.12
Mario West320.00-0.500.50-0.062-36387.316.5-9.1524.517.47.12
Salim Stoudamire2826-0.00-0.500.490.11-4-302616.715.90.8517.117.8-0.70
Acie Law2624-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-333216.915.91.0719.017.02.03
Solomon Jones2321-0.06-0.440.37-0.01-2-323014.816.7-1.8818.717.21.55
Zaza Pachulia1920-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-302615.416.4-1.0216.318.0-1.65
Josh Childress5451-0.22-0.280.070.37-20-14-616.216.10.0917.517.7-0.27
Marvin Williams3735-0.36-0.14-0.210.20-19-15-417.515.22.2217.717.40.33
Josh Smith5249-0.37-0.13-0.240.54-31-3-2816.515.70.8517.717.40.24
Mike Bibby4847-0.40-0.10-0.290.40-27-7-2015.517.0-1.5216.918.4-1.52
Al Horford8175-0.43-0.07-0.370.45-30-4-2616.413.33.1317.517.7-0.22
Joe Johnson6663-0.50-0.00-0.500.56-362-3816.315.70.5917.218.7-1.51

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce59620.450.050.40-0.523313217.019.0-2.0315.916.9-1.07
Kevin Garnett47500.390.110.29-0.493042617.018.3-1.3316.515.80.72
Kendrick Perkins48510.360.140.21-0.553132816.319.2-2.9015.517.1-1.66
Rajon Rondo53570.350.150.21-0.472862216.818.8-1.9516.016.5-0.58
Ray Allen52550.350.150.20-0.442772017.018.4-1.3817.114.62.50
James Posey37400.190.31-0.12-0.04826-1818.916.42.5115.616.6-1.05
Leon Powe33350.150.35-0.19-0.08826-1818.417.01.3917.715.22.52
Sam Cassell12120.150.35-0.21-0.03628-2219.817.22.6617.915.92.02
P.J. Brown24240.100.40-0.310.13-135-3619.616.72.8514.716.7-1.95
Tony Allen18190.010.49-0.490.01034-3418.117.40.7115.716.3-0.62
Eddie House18190.000.50-0.500.00034-3418.117.40.7115.716.3-0.62
Glen Davis14160.000.50-0.500.00034-3418.217.40.7916.216.20.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 98, PHX 1170.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MEM 70, UTA 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
MIL 86, BOS 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%