NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	120		Excitement	2.6 [1177]		MVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): +12.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	152		Comeback	1.2 [970]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -8.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	9	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Oliver Miller	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	8	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
John Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	39%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	11	54%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	19	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	-0.00	0.06	17	74%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	12	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	8	95%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	11	78%	0.09	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	11	77%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	71%	-0.00	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	30.2	10.0	22.4	1.6	30.2	118.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.5%

LAC +4.8%

TOR -5.2%

LAC +2.9%

TOR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.6	15.6	126.3	160.0	102.5
season	15.5	15.5		98.7	101.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		109.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.9	17.0	15.6	17.3	16.7
LAC	13.7	12.5	15.7	12.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharone Wright	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-30	28	16.8	16.7	0.15	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Tracy McGrady	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-27	22	17.1	16.3	0.79	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Shawn Respert	48	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	-23	14	17.4	16.0	1.35	13.6	13.7	-0.17
Oliver Miller	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-22	12	16.4	16.9	-0.47	14.0	13.3	0.66
Roy Rogers	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-28	24	16.6	16.7	-0.06	13.2	13.8	-0.64
John Thomas	26	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.18	-12	-20	8	16.3	16.8	-0.57	12.6	14.0	-1.45
Dee Brown	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.16	-16	-16	0	16.6	16.8	-0.26	14.0	13.3	0.73
Reggie Slater	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.30	-22	-10	-12	16.7	16.7	0.03	13.2	14.3	-1.15
Chauncey Billups	62	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.51	-31	-1	-30	16.5	16.9	-0.39	13.6	13.6	0.02
John Wallace	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.23	-22	-10	-12	16.7	16.6	0.15	14.3	12.4	1.94
Doug Christie	52	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	-5	-22	16.3	17.1	-0.79	13.8	13.4	0.43

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.43	30	2	28	14.2	12.6	1.62	17.1	15.9	1.16
Lamond Murray	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.31	25	7	18	14.7	12.1	2.60	17.1	16.1	0.95
Eric Piatkowski	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.32	25	7	18	14.7	12.4	2.32	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Maurice Taylor	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	19	-6	13.2	14.1	-0.90	17.0	16.3	0.77
Ike Austin	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.34	21	11	10	14.5	12.4	2.16	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Lorenzen Wright	42	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.32	20	12	8	12.6	14.4	-1.81	17.0	16.5	0.48
Rodney Rogers	58	60	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.45	21	11	10	13.6	13.7	-0.16	16.3	17.3	-1.00
James Robinson	36	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	24	-16	12.4	14.4	-2.05	16.9	16.6	0.34
Pooh Richardson	33	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	30	-28	12.6	14.2	-1.62	15.9	17.1	-1.16
Keith Closs	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	33	-34	11.4	14.0	-2.65	15.5	16.9	-1.45
Stojko Vrankovic	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	35	-38	12.5	13.7	-1.24	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Charles Smith	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	12.5	13.7	-1.24	16.3	16.7	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 98, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
SEA 82, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%