NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	68		Excitement	2.5 [1255]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +5.3%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.1 [946]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -12.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	55%	-0.01	5	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	9	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	0.02	13	31%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	12	82%	0.09	5	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	10	79%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	8	78%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.4	27.5	15.6	24.2	2.7	25.4	123.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.4%

UTA +4.1%

UTA +15.5%

CHA -3.7%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.4	76.4	107.7	104.1
season	15.6	16.0		99.9	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.2	16.8	16.6	16.5	17.0
UTA	17.0	12.5	16.9	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Williams	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-30	30	16.9	17.0	-0.14	11.0	15.4	-4.42
Brendan Haywood	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-26	22	15.2	17.1	-1.95	12.0	15.2	-3.21
Josh McRoberts	39	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.18	-9	-21	12	16.1	17.7	-1.62	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Bismack Biyombo	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-26	22	19.3	15.7	3.63	17.1	13.9	3.18
DeSagana Diop	10	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-21	12	14.2	17.3	-3.14	16.7	14.8	1.93
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-20	10	18.8	15.0	3.81	16.1	13.9	2.13
Gerald Henderson	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-23	16	17.6	16.2	1.44	15.7	14.2	1.48
Byron Mullens	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-18	6	18.4	15.9	2.48	17.3	13.3	3.94
Jeff Taylor	40	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.35	-20	-10	-10	16.2	17.7	-1.48	12.8	17.0	-4.17
Kemba Walker	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	-10	-10	17.8	15.5	2.31	16.7	12.2	4.56
Ben Gordon	35	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-11	-8	15.0	18.3	-3.32	12.6	16.6	-4.05
Ramon Sessions	32	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-17	4	15.2	18.0	-2.81	15.5	14.7	0.82
Jeff Adrien	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.37	-23	-7	-16	15.9	18.4	-2.53	12.9	17.7	-4.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	85	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	4	22	14.9	16.8	-1.93	17.4	12.6	4.79
Alec Burks	58	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.45	28	2	26	13.3	18.2	-4.89	16.7	17.5	-0.87
Jamaal Tinsley	29	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	16	-2	13.9	15.5	-1.62	14.7	18.1	-3.41
Gordon Hayward	50	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.35	22	8	14	14.6	15.5	-0.92	16.2	17.9	-1.60
Jeremy Evans	54	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.37	22	8	14	13.6	17.2	-3.63	15.7	18.7	-3.05
Randy Foye	48	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	22	-14	17.2	12.7	4.52	17.2	16.8	0.43
Derrick Favors	34	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	22	-14	18.2	13.1	5.11	18.4	16.0	2.42
DeMarre Carroll	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.35	18	12	6	13.8	16.0	-2.11	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Marvin Williams	29	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	26	-22	16.7	14.3	2.43	18.3	16.3	1.93
Earl Watson	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	30	-30	18.3	14.1	4.25	19.8	16.1	3.69
Kevin Murphy	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	30	-30	11.0	15.4	-4.42	16.9	17.0	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DEN 71, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHI 93, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%