NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	5.8 [677]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +21.9%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.0 [884]		LVP	Matt Freije (ATL): -12.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.10	-0.04	23	55%	0.30	4	-0.08	10	60%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.00	8	94%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.11
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	10	71%	0.16	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	23	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	8	63%	0.11	0	0.00	11	91%	0.06
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	1	100%	0.05	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Freije	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.5	31.2	17.4	30.4	2.5	28.3	142.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.0%

ATL -11.2%

CLE +14.1%

ATL -6.0%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.4	116.5	105.6	104.5
season	16.0	16.1		103.2	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	13.5	18.5	17.9	16.1
ATL	15.4	15.3	15.8	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	38	37	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-1	13	16.4	15.9	0.52	16.1	15.5	0.60
LeBron James	81	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	3	5	16.6	12.5	4.07	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Daniel Gibson	34	32	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	16.2	16.1	0.18	16.2	15.4	0.71
Damon Jones	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	5	1	15.9	16.7	-0.81	16.2	14.6	1.65
Eric Snow	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	-2	15	15.7	16.7	-1.01	16.2	14.9	1.36
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	5	1	15.8	16.7	-0.97	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Anderson Varejao	31	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	11	-11	16.8	15.8	0.99	16.0	15.6	0.44
Drew Gooden	53	55	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	5	1	16.2	16.0	0.21	15.8	15.6	0.21
Sasha Pavlovic	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	6	-1	13.6	16.4	-2.83	18.4	15.4	3.04
Shannon Brown	24	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	11	-11	16.7	15.9	0.80	13.7	16.5	-2.88
Ira Newble	8	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	23	-35	15.2	16.2	-0.95	10.9	16.2	-5.30

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	69	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-10	9	15.4	16.8	-1.45	16.8	13.8	3.07
Josh Smith	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	-2	-7	15.7	15.7	-0.04	16.4	16.0	0.38
Solomon Jones	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-5	-1	17.6	15.5	2.06	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Speedy Claxton	43	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-2	-7	15.2	16.1	-0.94	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Lorenzen Wright	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-9	7	16.0	15.5	0.54	14.3	17.2	-2.92
Shelden Williams	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	1	-13	15.5	15.8	-0.26	17.3	15.6	1.62
Matt Freije	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-10	9	15.7	15.7	-0.00	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Salim Stoudamire	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-9	7	16.1	15.2	0.94	16.8	15.4	1.38
Tyronn Lue	64	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-7	3	15.7	15.6	0.17	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Joe Johnson	82	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	15.7	16.0	-0.33	16.3	13.7	2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.07,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, BOS 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MIA 118, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%