inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 118 Excitement5.3 [750] MVPJames Jones (MIA): +20.7%
Washington Wizards 104 Comeback1.0 [882] LVPAndray Blatche (WAS): -8.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.100.10-0.00868%0.2100.00367%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.140,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.150.020.021377%0.256-0.111788%0.03
Jamario Moon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.010.055110%0.0800.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.02-0.02462%0.0700.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.11-0.010.031267%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01450%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.001357%0.072-0.0620%0.00
Michael Beasley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.010.001445%0.041-0.0310%-0.01
Joel Anthony0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.00350%-0.001-0.04425%-0.05

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.020.051669%0.192-0.07771%-0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.00-0.001556%0.0900.001155%-0.06
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011150%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.031255%0.051-0.03944%-0.02
Javaris Crittenton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.01660%0.053-0.053100%0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.00538%0.021-0.043100%0.02
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.02367%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.03640%0.023-0.09367%-0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.00520%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.22.531.415.727.22.428.5139.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.6%
WAS -6.0%
WAS -2.2%
MIA +8.8%
MIA +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game15.515.315.5126.9110.6106.4
season16.015.9105.9103.5
opponent15.215.7111.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.414.314.816.815.5
WAS16.413.914.616.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones54540.74-0.240.970.0324-103415.815.10.7615.614.90.63
Mario Chalmers53540.490.010.480.0515-11614.317.1-2.7816.114.12.02
Chris Quinn43430.440.060.370.031401416.214.91.2515.814.90.89
Jamaal Magloire29300.280.220.060.1068-217.714.53.2116.614.71.88
Jermaine O'Neal60610.220.28-0.06-0.0186214.717.0-2.2514.916.0-1.05
Michael Beasley49500.150.35-0.190.21-216-1816.014.91.1115.015.6-0.57
Yakhouba Diawara56570.130.37-0.230.10113-1215.615.40.2715.115.6-0.60
Jamario Moon39390.130.37-0.24-0.1186214.716.1-1.3315.315.30.08
Dwyane Wade67670.030.47-0.44-0.03212-1014.917.2-2.3314.617.0-2.35
Joel Anthony430.000.50-0.500.00014-1411.515.7-4.2010.015.5-5.46
Daequan Cook1112-0.110.61-0.710.07-620-2620.914.86.1214.315.4-1.09

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Oleksiy Pecherov340.00-0.500.500.000-141410.015.5-5.4611.515.7-4.20
Nick Young12-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-141421.015.25.7733.015.117.87
JaVale McGee1515-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-15169.716.4-6.6910.816.4-5.62
Andray Blatche2626-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-182215.415.20.1917.314.82.43
Antawn Jamison7573-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-8214.617.8-3.2015.615.10.53
Dominic McGuire7775-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-8214.916.9-2.0214.818.7-3.91
Caron Butler7575-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-9415.315.3-0.0416.112.93.26
Javaris Crittenton7572-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-8-6-215.514.41.1515.715.00.73
Darius Songaila1819-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-13-1-1216.615.01.6417.115.11.93
Brendan Haywood6665-0.550.05-0.60-0.02-184-2216.811.75.1415.415.7-0.23
Juan Dixon3939-0.590.09-0.69-0.04-195-2415.914.81.1314.816.1-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 118, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,093.5%
MEM 120, NYK 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,093.5%
LAC 107, ORL 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.4%