NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	5.5 [676]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +18.5%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [656]		LVP	Randolph Morris (NYK): -6.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.29	-0.01	0.10	16	97%	0.23	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	12	61%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	64%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jason Collins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.17	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Hakim Warrick	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.04	12	41%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.00	7	80%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	15	56%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	16	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.6	25.2	16.7	28.4	2.7	28.3	127.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +35.4%

MEM +18.3%

MEM +9.4%

NYK -14.1%

MEM +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	15.4	121.2	107.1	105.7
season	14.9	15.7		103.3	103.1
opponent	15.2	14.9		109.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	14.7	15.1	18.3	15.5
NYK	12.4	14.7	12.6	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Carlos Navarro	65	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-9	32	15.8	14.9	0.93	14.4	12.0	2.36
Mike Miller	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	-4	22	14.9	17.1	-2.14	14.1	12.2	1.82
Mike Conley	63	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-1	16	15.3	15.7	-0.40	13.8	13.3	0.50
Jason Collins	27	26	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	4	6	18.0	14.5	3.54	15.6	12.9	2.65
Javaris Crittenton	22	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	14.7	15.7	-1.01	15.1	13.2	1.92
Brian Cardinal	10	9	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	8	-2	12.9	15.8	-2.85	16.2	13.4	2.86
Rudy Gay	72	74	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	14	-14	15.3	15.9	-0.63	12.7	16.4	-3.66
Hakim Warrick	82	81	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	17	-20	15.9	13.2	2.69	12.7	17.9	-5.21
Kyle Lowry	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	15	-16	15.7	15.3	0.40	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Darko Milicic	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	11	-8	14.5	16.1	-1.53	12.8	14.2	-1.44
Casey Jacobsen	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	16.3	15.4	0.90	8.5	13.7	-5.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	57	56	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.12	13	-27	40	12.7	14.9	-2.22	15.9	14.9	0.94
Malik Rose	5	5	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-16	18	17.4	13.4	3.97	17.0	15.4	1.62
Jamal Crawford	63	62	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-14	14	12.8	15.1	-2.38	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Fred Jones	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	14.6	13.4	1.16	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Wilson Chandler	73	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-3	-8	13.7	13.5	0.17	14.7	17.7	-2.96
David Lee	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-10	6	13.1	14.1	-1.07	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Mardy Collins	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-3	-8	14.9	12.6	2.31	16.9	14.2	2.69
Nate Robinson	78	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	13.4	14.5	-1.14	15.1	17.0	-1.99
Renaldo Balkman	57	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	2	-18	14.1	12.9	1.21	16.5	14.1	2.47
Randolph Morris	53	54	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	0.07	-28	14	-42	14.2	13.0	1.17	15.4	15.5	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, BOS 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.8%
MIA 118, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
SAC 118, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.3%