inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Excitement5.6 [691] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +10.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 91 Comeback1.4 [677] LVPRasho Nesterovic (MIN): -9.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.06978%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Travis Knight0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.001100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.00-0.041854%0.102-0.06580%0.01
Rick Fox0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.00764%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Glen Rice0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.011074%0.093-0.053100%0.02
Robert Horry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.03636%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Brian Shaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
John Salley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Harper-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
A.C. Green-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00450%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.02-0.072050%0.073-0.111233%-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Sealy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.011159%0.0800.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.09-0.040.051171%0.041-0.042100%0.01
Dean Garrett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.010.011750%-0.0000.008100%0.04
William Avery0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.011046%-0.011-0.02633%-0.06
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.0110%-0.041-0.0220%-0.03
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.011948%0.023-0.08887%0.02
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.030.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01812%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.428.216.026.11.729.3127.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +60.9%
LAL +2.3%
MIN -2.0%
MIN -13.0%
LAL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALMINNBALALMINNBA
this game17.514.015.2114.398.9101.7
season15.315.1105.6103.5
opponent15.715.1101.198.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.217.118.020.117.5
MIN15.413.610.417.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant76770.410.090.320.061211117.119.3-2.2313.914.7-0.77
Shaquille O'Neal82830.400.100.290.2267-117.615.91.7613.914.8-0.84
Rick Fox34340.340.160.180.0894518.916.62.3415.413.22.11
Travis Knight880.270.230.05-0.02103715.717.6-1.8915.613.91.76
Derek Fisher39400.270.230.040.1549-518.316.81.4614.813.41.33
Ron Harper49490.250.250.01-0.0194517.317.7-0.3613.714.4-0.75
Robert Horry44440.170.33-0.170.08310-718.616.42.1714.213.90.31
Glen Rice57580.160.34-0.180.0449-516.618.9-2.3413.215.4-2.11
John Salley770.100.40-0.290.01310-717.617.50.1114.614.00.59
Brian Shaw18180.070.43-0.370.04112-1117.717.40.2413.814.1-0.23
A.C. Green41420.060.44-0.38-0.0649-516.218.5-2.2413.614.4-0.74

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
William Avery11-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-121121.013.97.0520.017.42.56
Malik Sealy6868-0.02-0.480.450.00-1-121113.216.4-3.2417.517.5-0.07
Dean Garrett109-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-141516.613.72.8916.417.6-1.14
Bobby Jackson1515-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-10714.314.00.2916.717.6-0.96
Sam Mitchell3334-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-8313.514.3-0.7916.618.0-1.41
Anthony Peeler5654-0.20-0.300.10-0.17-1-121113.814.4-0.6518.216.41.75
Joe Smith5453-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-11912.815.8-2.9717.916.91.04
Kevin Garnett8484-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-10-3-713.717.1-3.4017.418.1-0.73
Terrell Brandon7675-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-9-4-513.914.7-0.8117.616.90.73
Rasho Nesterovic3940-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-163-1915.812.73.0316.818.0-1.11
Wally Szczerbiak2422-0.520.02-0.550.00-185-2317.612.84.8217.917.30.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 88, MIL 800.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,093.1%
MIA 83, BOS 750.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,092.8%
CLE 106, ATL 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.07,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,092.7%