NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	8.2 [241]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +28.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	2.0 [502]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -16.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	11	73%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	12	44%	0.07	5	-0.18	3	67%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	19	49%	0.03	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	8	44%	-0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.11	0.03	23	62%	0.31	1	-0.02	18	83%	0.07
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	75%	0.09	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	9	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.01	0.00	18	39%	0.02	4	-0.15	10	40%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.8	35.4	15.6	27.0	2.5	38.2	151.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -24.3%

LAL +14.7%

LAL +24.9%

LAL +31.7%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	15.4	102.0	107.1	104.5
season	15.7	15.3		103.3	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	12.0	16.2	13.7	14.1
LAL	13.4	14.8	16.5	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	64	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-1	-2	14.2	13.9	0.31	15.8	14.1	1.69
Cuttino Mobley	64	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.17	-8	4	-12	14.6	13.1	1.46	15.7	14.3	1.31
Corey Maggette	63	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-10	16	13.4	15.2	-1.78	15.4	14.7	0.69
Shaun Livingston	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	15.2	13.4	1.80	16.9	14.1	2.74
Tim Thomas	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-5	6	13.5	14.6	-1.09	16.0	14.5	1.49
Sam Cassell	69	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	13.9	14.4	-0.44	13.9	17.9	-3.93
Elton Brand	85	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-6	8	14.2	13.4	0.82	14.8	17.9	-3.16
Quinton Ross	65	64	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.53	-12	8	-20	13.8	14.5	-0.67	14.2	17.0	-2.83

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	78	79	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.48	13	-9	22	14.5	17.8	-3.35	14.2	13.5	0.70
Luke Walton	62	63	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-7	18	13.9	17.3	-3.40	13.3	15.4	-2.09
Smush Parker	70	72	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-2	8	14.0	18.2	-4.29	13.7	14.9	-1.14
Lamar Odom	81	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	1	2	15.4	13.9	1.50	14.8	10.2	4.55
Kwame Brown	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	5	-6	14.2	17.0	-2.78	14.4	13.4	1.08
Andrew Bynum	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-1	6	17.0	14.2	2.78	13.4	14.4	-1.08
Sasha Vujacic	28	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	18.2	14.0	4.29	14.9	13.7	1.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	11	-18	16.6	14.4	2.25	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Maurice Evans	38	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.06	-8	12	-20	16.7	14.2	2.54	14.4	13.8	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.83,1	92.4%
DET 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1	91.3%
UTA 87, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.91,1	91.2%