inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 109 Excitement3.5 [1106] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +12.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 98 Comeback1.0 [483] LVPRicky Davis (MIN): -8.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.01-0.011660%0.1200.00333%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.110.120.010.021370%0.142-0.03786%0.01
Pat Garrity0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.02565%0.0700.00786%0.01
Darko Milicic0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.00965%0.092-0.04560%-0.02
Keyon Dooling0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02483%0.073-0.034100%0.01
Tony Battie0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02662%0.021-0.02450%-0.01
Keith Bogans-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01642%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.01-0.04833%-0.012-0.032100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.03911%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.020.041857%0.101-0.021392%0.04
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.01375%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.031350%0.032-0.012100%0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04857%0.011-0.01786%-0.00
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.000.06868%0.022-0.043100%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00150%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.000.061347%-0.052-0.04875%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.034.016.823.31.842.0145.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +33.4%
MIN -5.6%
ORL +18.0%
ORL +0.9%
ORL +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMINNBAORLMINNBA
this game16.515.115.4119.8107.7104.5
season15.915.4103.4101.9
opponent15.615.7105.8103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.915.619.017.516.5
MIN19.515.013.712.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darko Milicic44450.390.110.290.0412-11316.216.8-0.6016.114.21.89
Trevor Ariza47470.350.150.200.031101117.115.91.1315.015.3-0.27
Dwight Howard72710.320.180.150.1565116.716.00.6514.816.1-1.30
Keyon Dooling35360.280.220.07-0.0712-11315.417.2-1.8114.815.3-0.54
Carlos Arroyo39400.270.230.040.1065117.315.91.4314.915.3-0.41
Jameer Nelson61600.240.26-0.030.21110-916.716.10.6214.616.2-1.61
Keith Bogans55540.210.29-0.070.1047-315.917.5-1.5815.414.80.63
Pat Garrity37370.210.29-0.080.18110-916.616.50.0914.115.9-1.77
Hedo Turkoglu40390.150.35-0.200.0929-716.316.7-0.3915.814.61.21
Tony Battie25260.070.43-0.360.07011-1117.116.30.7816.514.61.92

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Blount5048-0.07-0.430.36-0.308-192714.316.1-1.7617.415.51.95
Justin Reed1112-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-6115.815.00.7815.216.7-1.46
Eddie Griffin1010-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-5-118.314.73.5612.517.0-4.51
Trenton Hassell4747-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-10916.613.63.0316.516.5-0.01
Craig Smith2121-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-2-714.615.3-0.7316.616.50.13
Randy Foye4141-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-7314.215.9-1.6616.316.7-0.45
Troy Hudson1718-0.24-0.260.020.08-110-1117.114.72.3715.916.7-0.78
Mike James6969-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.19-3-8514.517.2-2.7616.815.51.34
Marko Jaric3737-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-121-1315.415.00.4216.016.9-0.87
Ricky Davis7170-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-5-114.616.8-2.2016.416.8-0.38
Kevin Garnett8182-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.25-6-5-115.413.22.1716.912.84.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 106, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,096.4%
GSW 103, CHA 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
TOR 101, IND 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%