NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	3.4 [1135]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +10.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	87		Comeback	1.1 [535]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -10.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	21	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	69%	0.08	4	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.05	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	76%	0.09	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	18	53%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	19	48%	-0.05	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.7	24.6	15.6	26.0	1.8	34.5	131.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.5%

GSW +8.9%

GSW +0.4%

GSW +7.4%

GSW +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.5	110.8	90.6	104.0
season	15.0	15.5		102.3	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		105.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	14.3	16.9	15.3	15.2
CHA	15.7	15.7	13.1	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	70	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	2	12	14.9	16.0	-1.13	16.2	12.6	3.60
Troy Murphy	70	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	3	10	14.9	16.0	-1.13	16.2	12.6	3.60
Jason Richardson	73	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	3	10	15.2	15.2	-0.01	14.8	17.1	-2.21
Derek Fisher	42	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	4	8	15.3	15.1	0.25	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Dale Davis	36	37	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	3	10	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	71	73	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	9	-2	15.1	15.5	-0.34	15.8	13.6	2.26
Clifford Robinson	53	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	10	-4	15.2	15.2	-0.06	15.1	15.5	-0.30
Calbert Cheaney	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	14	-12	16.0	14.9	1.13	12.6	16.2	-3.60
Eduardo Najera	27	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	16	-16	16.0	14.8	1.19	13.3	16.1	-2.82

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-19	22	10.9	16.6	-5.67	15.9	15.0	0.86
Tamar Slay	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-13	10	13.4	15.9	-2.49	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Jason Kapono	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-13	10	13.5	16.5	-3.06	16.2	14.5	1.72
Emeka Okafor	35	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-9	2	16.3	14.7	1.63	14.4	15.6	-1.19
Gerald Wallace	73	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-15	14	15.6	14.3	1.34	15.4	14.5	0.89
Bernard Robinson	36	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-1	-14	15.1	15.4	-0.23	13.6	16.1	-2.46
Steven Smith	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	16.0	14.0	2.02	15.7	14.2	1.57
Eddie House	89	86	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-8	0	15.2	16.9	-1.70	15.4	12.3	3.14
Jason Hart	46	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	2	-20	16.0	14.7	1.30	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Primoz Brezec	56	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	2	-20	16.9	13.0	3.91	15.2	15.2	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	96.3%
DET 95, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
SAS 117, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.9%