inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 117 Excitement3.2 [1173] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +11.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 110 Comeback1.1 [1092] LVPMonta Ellis (MIL): -5.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.110,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.01-0.02590%0.1100.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.000.022060%0.101-0.01786%0.01
Boris Diaw0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.044112%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.012100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Gary Neal0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.02-0.04844%0.052-0.0420%-0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03633%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.032348%0.043-0.032100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031253%0.021-0.02667%-0.01
Patty Mills0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Nando De Colo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%-0.0010.0020%-0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.180.000.111191%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.10-0.000.071273%0.072-0.042100%0.00
Tobias Harris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Doron Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01442%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.000.052655%0.075-0.094100%0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03460%0.024-0.052100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00433%-0.0300.00450%-0.01
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02233%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.01530%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.021843%-0.013-0.04667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.32.325.415.428.62.530.5125.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +37.2%
SAS +2.4%
MIL -6.6%
SAS +17.0%
SAS +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMILNBASASMILNBA
this game14.813.315.4113.6107.8104.1
season15.214.7106.4101.6
opponent15.315.1103.999.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS12.216.815.015.514.8
MIL14.914.510.613.313.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter37390.370.130.24-0.1317-102714.415.0-0.6015.911.74.25
Tim Duncan73720.370.130.23-0.1618-112915.213.81.4313.512.80.67
Tony Parker75750.360.140.21-0.0313-61915.413.42.0013.313.3-0.08
Danny Green60600.320.180.140.059-21116.412.63.8013.413.10.30
Stephen Jackson45460.240.26-0.030.0952314.015.5-1.4913.712.90.85
Boris Diaw54520.220.28-0.070.27-29-1113.016.8-3.7412.713.9-1.27
Gary Neal26250.210.29-0.070.0752315.014.80.2514.612.91.70
Manu Ginobili58590.210.29-0.080.24-18-914.814.80.0313.013.6-0.57
Kawhi Leonard52510.150.35-0.200.27-411-1514.714.9-0.1312.514.1-1.57
Matt Bonner15130.130.37-0.240.19-29-1117.114.42.7113.313.30.04
Nando De Colo540.000.50-0.500.18-613-199.415.1-5.698.213.5-5.23
Patty Mills540.000.50-0.500.18-613-199.415.1-5.698.213.5-5.23
DeJuan Blair1010-0.070.57-0.630.26-1118-2914.714.8-0.138.313.8-5.52

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris45-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-13198.213.5-5.239.415.1-5.69
Doron Lamb45-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-13198.213.5-5.239.415.1-5.69
John Henson4748-0.14-0.360.21-0.357-142112.114.3-2.1716.513.43.08
Ekpe Udoh1616-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-6513.613.20.3410.615.6-5.04
Luc Mbah a Moute4142-0.16-0.340.17-0.08-3-4112.913.5-0.6214.914.80.11
Ersan Ilyasova5149-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-91113.712.80.8615.114.60.47
Monta Ellis8584-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-3-113.014.7-1.7215.014.20.81
Marquis Daniels4346-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-70-714.012.71.3314.315.3-1.00
Larry Sanders4951-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-1912-3114.212.51.7114.315.3-0.99
Mike Dunleavy7978-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.15-81-913.113.8-0.6615.114.01.02
Brandon Jennings9191-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.07-147-2113.79.44.3815.310.84.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 98, MIA 830.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,096.9%
SEA 111, CLE 980.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,096.7%
PHI 103, MIA 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.6%